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1.
The paper seeks to evaluate the evidence on the employment effectsof the collective working-time reductions in Europe over thepast 20 years. While theoretical analyses produce contradictoryassessments, most empirical studies show positive employmenteffects but take insufficient account of these conditions underwhich the reductions in working time were implemented. Theseconditions for the success of collective working-time reductionsinclude an active training policy designed to minimise skillshortages in the labour market, the modernisation of work organisation,wage increases in conjunction with productivity gains and amore equal income distribution. 相似文献
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Summary. Finding solutions to the Bellman equation often relies on restrictive boundedness assumptions. In this paper we develop a
method of proof that allows to dispense with the assumption that returns are bounded from above. In applications our assumptions
only imply that long run average (expected) growth is sufficiently discounted, in sharp contrast with classical assumptions
either absolutely bounding growth or bounding each period (instead of long run) maximum (instead of average) growth. We discuss
our work in relation to the literature and provide several examples.
Received: July 26, 2000; revised version: July 10, 2002
RID="*"
ID="*" I am specially grateful to Cuong Le Van and to anonymous referee for detecting an error in a previous version of this
paper and for suggestions that sensibly improved the paper. Comments and suggestions are also acknowledged to Michele Boldrin,
Raouf Boucekkine, Fabrice Collard, Tim Kehoe, Omar Licandro, and Luis Puch. I am also indebted to participants to the III
Summer School on Economic Theory held at the Universidade de Vigo, the Macroeconomics Workshop at the Universitat Autò}noma
de Barcelona, and the Econometrics Seminar at Tilburg University. Financial support from the Belgian government, under project
PAI P4/01, at the IRES-UCL, from a European Marie Curie fellowship, Grant HPMF-CT-1999-00410, at the CEPREMAP, and from IVIE
and Spanish Ministerio de Ciencia y Tecnología and FEDER, under project BEC2001-0535, at the Universidad de Alicante, is gratefully
acknowledged. 相似文献
4.
We assess the quantitative importance of reclassification risk in the US health insurance market. Reclassification risk arises because the health conditions of individuals evolve over time, while a typical health insurance contract only lasts for one year. Thus, a change in the health status can lead to a significant change in the health insurance premium. We measure welfare gains from introducing explicit insurance against this risk in the form of guaranteed renewable health insurance contracts. We find that in the current institutional environment individuals are well-sheltered against reclassification risk and they only moderately gain from having access to these contracts. More specifically, we show that employer-sponsored health insurance and public means-tested transfers play an important role in providing implicit insurance against reclassification risk. If these institutions are removed, the average welfare gains from having access to guaranteed renewable contracts exceed 4% of the annual consumption. 相似文献
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地方政府公共投资与区域经济增长的差异性分析 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
文章采用全国31个省、自治区和直辖市1995~2008年的面板数据,构建动态面板数据模型,考察了地方政府公共投资对区域经济增长的影响。研究表明,1995年以来我国地方政府公共投资总体上推动了区域经济增长,但不同公共投资项目的拉动效应在区域间存在着较大差异。 相似文献
7.
《International Journal of Forecasting》2014,30(4):963-980
We extend the recently introduced latent threshold dynamic models to include dependencies among the dynamic latent factors which underlie multivariate volatility. With an ability to induce time-varying sparsity in factor loadings, these models now also allow time-varying correlations among factors, which may be exploited in order to improve volatility forecasts. We couple multi-period, out-of-sample forecasting with portfolio analysis using standard and novel benchmark neutral portfolios. Detailed studies of stock index and FX time series include: multi-period, out-of-sample forecasting, statistical model comparisons, and portfolio performance testing using raw returns, risk-adjusted returns and portfolio volatility. We find uniform improvements on all measures relative to standard dynamic factor models. This is due to the parsimony of latent threshold models and their ability to exploit between-factor correlations so as to improve the characterization and prediction of volatility. These advances will be of interest to financial analysts, investors and practitioners, as well as to modeling researchers. 相似文献
8.
基于3家实施智能化转型升级的国内汽车制造企业,进行了跨案例研究,构建了我国汽车制造企业智能化转型升级的理论模型。该理论模型表明,我国汽车制造企业智能化转型升级可以分为自动化、信息化以及智能化3个阶段。企业基于动态能力不断调整其在不同阶段所拥有的核心能力,在自动化阶段,主要是通过实施以提高制造能力为核心的战略实现转型升级;在信息化阶段,主要是通过实施以标准化、信息化集成为核心的战略实现转型升级;在智能化阶段,主要是通过实施以企业柔性化建设为核心的战略实现转型升级。 相似文献
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10.
Melanie Lührmann 《The German Economic Review》2010,11(2):225-245
Abstract. This paper investigates consumer expenditures of German households pre‐ and post‐retirement. The widely observed distinct drop in spending upon retirement entry poses an empirical puzzle since life cycle theory predicts smoothing of the marginal utility of consumption over time. As one explanation, I explore the role of home production as a substitute for consumer expenses. Taking a combined look at consumer expenditures and time use pre‐ and post‐retirement, I find a significant drop of about 17% of pre‐retirement expenses at retirement which coincides with an increase in time spent on home production of an additional 89 minutes per day, accounting for 21% of average home production. 相似文献