Firm litigation risk and the insurance value of corporate social performance

This paper advances the risk management perspective that superior social performance enhances firm value by serving as an ex ante valuable insurance mechanism. We posit that good social performance is more valuable as an insurance mechanism for firms with higher litigation risks. Moreover, value generation of corporate social performance (CSP) depends on whether a firm has gained pragmatic legitimacy (i.e., a firm's financial health) and moral legitimacy (i.e., whether or not a firm operates in a socially contested industry) among its stakeholders. We find that the value of CSP as insurance against litigation risk is practically significant, adding 2 to 4 percent to firm value. But CSP is less likely to create value if the firm is in financial distress or is operating in socially contested industries. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

浅议中国商业银行风险管理问题——基于XBRL运用

2012年4月26日,中国财政部与银监会联合发布了《关于银行业金融机构实施企业会计准则通用分类标准的通知》,该通知的发布对于进一步规范银行业的财务信息披露,完善和加强银行业的内部控制有着重要意义。银行业是与高风险联系最为密切的行业之一,在此背景下研究中国商业银行所面临的市场风险并结合XBRL在使用过程中的优点和不足,分析其实施会对中国银行业的风险管理带来怎样的积极作用。     

物流中断风险分析与对策研究

物流企业运营过程中会遇到很多种风险,某些风险会导致物流中断。这些风险不仅包括一些导致物流中断、财产损失和人身伤亡的纯粹风险,还有经营风险、财务风险、投资风险、客户流失风险、人力资源管理风险等。由于风险管理主要关注的是纯粹风险。文章用风险管理的思想来研究物流中断的风险,包括物流中断的风险识别、分析、评价和风险的控制措施和持续改进的建议。     

Is the cardholder an efficient alarm system to detect credit card incidents?

There is a growing tendency in credit card industry to increase the contribution of the smallest players, the cardholders, in the detection of card incidents. This article examines whether cardholders are efficient at detecting/communicating incidents of theft, loss or fraudulent use of their cards. The analysis focuses on whether they demonstrate enough speed of response to support a risk control subsystem by the issuer. The research follows a completely new approach showing how the issue can be handled by applying the concept of elasticity, a notion just recently exported from economics to the field of statistics by linking it with the reverse hazard rate. The issue is focused on the analysis of the characteristics of the elasticity function of the random variable that measures the delay of cardholders in reporting incidents. This study is illustrated with an application to a real data set of 1069 incidents.     

证券投资组合损失率概率评价模型的开发与实证检验

通过建立证券投资组合损失率概率评价模型,定义损失率概率为单个资产或投资组合的损失率超过市场平均损失率的概率,用于对投资组合的风险进行评价。以某基金为例,计算得到该基金的损失率概率为39.74%,表明该基金有39.74%的概率损失率超过市场平均损失率。以证券投资组合损失率概率最小为目标函数,采用遗传算法进行求解,得出该基金投资组合损失率概率最小时的投资权重系数,最小损失率概率为36.01%,与该基金公司的投资组合相比,损失率概率降低了3.73%,实例证明该模型是降低证券投资组合风险的一种实用方法。     

Managing Risks in Complex Projects

Dealing effectively with risks in complex projects is difficult and requires management interventions that go beyond simple analytical approaches. This is one finding of a major field study into risk management practices and business processes of 35 major product developments in 17 high‐technology companies. Almost one‐half of the contingencies that occur are not being detected before they impact project performance. Yet, the risk‐impact model presented in this article shows that risk does not affect all projects equally but depends on the effectiveness of collective managerial actions dealing with specific contingencies. The results of this study discuss why some organizations are more successful in detecting risks early in the project life cycle, and in decoupling risk factors from work processes before they impact project performance. The field data suggest that effective project risk management involves an intricately linked set of variables, related to work process, organizational environment, and people. Some of the best success scenarios point to the critical importance of recognizing and dealing with risks early in their development. This requires broad involvement and collaboration across all segments of the project team and its environment, and sophisticated methods for assessing feasibilities and usability early and frequently during the project life cycle. Specific managerial actions, organizational conditions, and work processes are suggested for fostering a project environment most conducive to effective cross‐functional communication and collaboration among all stakeholders, a condition important to early risk detection and effective risk management in complex project situations.     

基于信任的供应链中断风险研究综述

文中通过信任在供应链中断风险现状中的理论和实证两方面的综述，发现信任能够降低企业间的交易成本、促进信息共享和长远合作。同时，信任与风险正相关关系，合理地防御信任带来的供应链风险，能够为核心企业和供应商创造大量商业价值和提高供应链企业共同防御风险的能力。文中指出了进一步的研究方向：①信任维护成本的问题；②供应链联盟的信任机制问题；③供应链中断风险的实证研究问题。     

美国商业银行风险管理经验及其启示

由于受金融危机的影响,国内银行正面临着越来越大的来自风险、管理和利润的压力.完善的风险管理体系是保证商业银行持续发展和稳定的关键.因此,基于美国商业银行风险管理的现状,通过借鉴美国商业银行在风险管理方面的经验和教训,对中国商业银行风险管理提出了建议.     

制造企业面向风险管理的要素筛选方法

风险管理是汽车零部件企业经营管理的组成部分,通过前瞻性分析和预测,采取应对突发事件的策略,减轻突发事件对企业的影响.汽车零部件企业在生产经营过程中存在众多风险要素众多,通过对风险要素进行评估,确定关键风险要素并对其进行重点管理非常重要.文章介绍了风险管理的一般原则和方法,对供应链风险要素的识别和筛选进行了重点研究     

机构投资者与个人投资者非理性行为差异研究

机构投资者与个人投资者是证券市场的重要组成部分，其非理性程度直接影响着市场的健康稳定。本文基于有情境元素的问卷调查，构建包含投资者类别为自变量，年龄和性别为控制变量，16种常见非理性行为为因变量的分析框架，实证检验机构投资者与个人投资者非理性行为差异。结果表明，中国机构投资者与个人投资者都存在严重的非理性行为；相比机构投资者，个人投资者非理性程度更为严重；机构投资者与个人投资者在偏好逆转、证实性偏差、沉没成本、模糊厌恶、处置效应和损失厌恶方面存在显著差异。本研究为投资者防范非理性行为提供建议，为市场稳定发展提供参考。