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1.
本研究利用高效液相色谱同时测定食用油中没食子酸丙酯(PG)、没食子酸月桂酯(DG)、没食子酸辛酯(OG)、叔丁基对苯二酚(TBHQ)、叔丁基对羟基茴香醚(BHA)、2,6-二叔丁基对甲基苯酚(BHT)、2,6-二叔丁基-4-羟甲基苯酚(Ionox-100)7种抗氧化剂的测定方法,样品中的抗氧化剂经正己烷溶解、乙腈萃取后,经C18柱分离,乙腈-1.5%乙酸溶液体系为流动相进行梯度洗脱,紫外检测器检测,外标法定量。选择线性范围在1~100mg/L,结果表明7种抗氧化剂呈良好的线性关系,相关系数r大于0.999,方法的测定低限为0.8~2.0mg/kg,回收率在89.3%~110.1%,变异系数在1.5%~4.9%。该方法准确、快速、重现性好,可用于大批量食用油检测中7种抗氧化剂的定量分析。  相似文献   
2.
We study the cost of shocks, that is, jump risk, with respect to reserve management when the reserve process is formulated as a drift‐switching jump diffusion with a reflecting barrier at 0. Inspired by the Brownian drift switching model, our model results in a more realistic dynamic behavior of international reserves than the buffer stock model. The new model can capture both the jump behavior in reserve dynamics and the leptokurtic feature of the increment distribution which has a higher peak and two asymmetric heavier tails than the normal distribution. Through the selection of an initial distribution that reflects certain steady state behaviors, the reserve process becomes a regenerative process. This selection enables us to derive a closed‐form expression for the total expected discounted cost of managing reserves, thus helping us to numerically find management strategies that minimize costs. The numerical results show that shocks at the reserve level have a significant effect on reserve management strategies and that model misspecification can result in nonnegligible additional costs.  相似文献   
3.
This article provides a fresh insight into the dynamic nexus between oil prices, the Saudi/US dollar exchange rate, inflation, and output growth rate in Saudi Arabia’ economy, using novel Morlet’ wavelet methods. Specifically, it implements various tools of methodology: the continuous wavelet power spectrum, the cross-wavelet power spectrum, the wavelet coherency, the multiple and the partial wavelet coherence to the annual sample period 1969–2014. Our results unveil that the relationships among the variables evolve through time and frequency. From the time-domain view, we show strong but non-homogenous linkages between the four variables. From the frequency-domain view, we uncover significant wavelet coherences and strong lead-lag relationships. From an economic view, the wavelet analysis shows that Saudi economy is still exposed to several global risk factors, which are mainly related to the oil market volatility, and the pegging of the local currency to the US dollar. Such risk factors strongly and negatively affect the real economic growth, exert more pressure on inflation, and substantially limit the freedom to pursue an independent monetary policy.  相似文献   
4.
ABSTRACT

This article identifies the breakdowns in the covariance of three benchmark crude oil futures markets (WTI, Brent and Dubai) and investigates the changes of market connectedness across the breakdown periods. As the crude oil futures are traded in different regions, this article eliminates the non-synchronous trading data by employing the Vector Moving Average structure and the Bayesian data augmentation approach, which keeps the integrity of original data without changing its properties. The results show that there are significant breaks in the covariance structure of crude oil futures markets. The breakdown periods are consistent with the periods when the market volatilities are at high level and the returns are volatile. The changes of market connectedness are independent of the covariance states, which supports the globalization hypothesis for the crude oil market. The results also suggest that there is more information flow out of the WTI than to the WTI during the sample period, particularly during the breakdown periods in 2008–2009.  相似文献   
5.
Recent evidence suggests shifts (structural breaks) in the volatility of returns causes non‐normality by significantly increasing kurtosis. In this paper, we endogenously detect significant shifts in the volatility of oil prices and incorporate this information to estimate Value‐at‐Risk (VaR) to accurately forecast large declines in oil prices. Our out‐of‐sample performance results indicate that the model, which incorporates both time varying volatility (without making any distributional assumptions) and shifts in volatility, produces more accurate VaR forecasts than several benchmark methods. We make a timely contribution as the recent more frequent occurrences of unexpected large oil price declines has gained significant attention because of its substantial impact on the financial markets and the global economy.  相似文献   
6.
针对空战目标识别中机型自动识别比较困难的问题,提出了采用航迹特征的智能目标识别方法。利用卷积神经网络(Convolutional Neural Network,CNN)分层学习特征的能力,训练CNN算法模型自动地从航迹数据中学习有用的特征并分类。利用沿海实地采集的15个类别的飞机航迹数据,经一系列数据预处理后作为智能识别算法的训练和测试数据,在验证实验中描述了算法网络的相关配置,对比了CNN与其他分类器的识别结果。实验结果表明,CNN具有很好的识别性能。  相似文献   
7.
黄颖  杨会杰 《科技和产业》2021,21(8):158-162
随着人工智能快速发展,深度学习模型预测金融时间序列成为热点问题.数据及特征选取是决定模型效果的重要环节,用XGBoost模型进行特征优化并预测黄金价格涨跌趋势,再与LSTM模型比较预测效果.用XGBoost分析动量因子特征重要性并选取有效指标;形态因子做历史回测并选取胜率较高的K线指标,预测准确率提升1.5%.以相同因子为LSTM模型特征值预测准确率提升6.5%,达到80%.以欧元和浦发银行股价数据为样本均证实K线指标有效且LSTM模型预测效果优于XGBoost.  相似文献   
8.
Based on the wavelet analysis approach, this paper firstly examines the dynamic relationship between global economic activity (proxied by the Kilian economic index) and crude oil prices in both time- and frequency-domains. Our empirical results demonstrate significant correlation between crude oil prices and global economic activity at high frequencies (in the short run) during the entire sample period; however, the co-movement between the two at low frequencies (in the long run) is weaker and exists only during certain proportions of the sample period. We also document evidence that global economic activity and oil price are positively correlated, with dynamic lead-lag relationships across time. Our findings are robust to alternative choices of oil price indexes and controlling for other confounding factors such as geopolitical risk, armed conflicts, economic policy uncertainty and equity market uncertainty. The current study provides valuable implications for oil market investors based on the information of global economic situation and its dynamic relationships with oil prices.  相似文献   
9.
Enterprise architecture allows companies to deal with digital transformation through the proactive presentation and alignment of business and IT in a holistic manner. One important challenge is EA modelling since it is time-consuming (thus expensive), error-prone, and biased owing to experts’ subjective opinions. This challenge might consequently be addressed through automatic EA modelling. We conducted a systematic mapping study to classify and evaluate the research concerning EA mining proposals developed specifically for TOGAF and Archimate. After analysing results, we concluded that the research field is not sufficiently mature and further research on EA mining is necessary.  相似文献   
10.
视频用户体验的质量要求给网络传输带来了巨大挑战,未来的虚拟现实/增强现实(Virtual Reality/Augmented Reality,VR/AR) 视频业务则对交互时延提出了更高要求。视频业务识别是网络运营商及视频业务提供商对视频进行优先网络资源分配和自适应速率控制的基本前提。综述了业务识别领域的一般研究方法及其对视频业务的具体应用。首先,总结了每种业务识别方法的工作原理,对比了这些方法应用于视频业务时的优缺点及在准确率和召回率指标上的识别性能;然后,特别介绍了可以提升识别准确率和计算性能的特征选择算法;最后,阐述并分析了高吞吐量网络分类速度不够、无成熟视频业务识别平台和样本分布不均衡等视频业务识别面临的挑战,并针对现有业务识别方法存在的问题,给出了引入移动边缘计算、基于端口的方法串联其他识别方法等可能的解决方案。  相似文献   
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