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1.
James H. Stock 《Oxford bulletin of economics and statistics》1996,58(4):685-701
This paper focuses on the construction of forecasts over long horizons where a typical long-horizon forecast might span four years using 20 to 40 years’ data. It is argued that the presence of persistence in the form of unit or near-unit autoregressive roots poses substantial difficulties for long-horizon interval and point forecasting. These difficulties may not be overcome even by efficient pre-testing or model-selection procedures and might, in general, lead to point forecasts with large asymptotic root mean squared errors and undesirably wide prediction intervals. 相似文献
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严圣阳 《武汉市经济管理干部学院学报》2002,16(2):31-33
面对我国加入WTO和电子商务飞速发展的新形势,竞争激烈的证券经纪业务面临新的机遇和挑战,急需改变传统的业务运作模式,从发展战略、管理、营销和运作机制等各方面进行业务创新. 相似文献
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把惩防体系植于企业内部控制和风险管理制度之内,融入企业经营管理体系之中是新时期、新形势下国有企业惩防体系建设的方向。文章对国有企业惩防体系的内涵、实施途径,以及取得的成效进行初步探讨。 相似文献
6.
Tourism as complex interdisciplinary research object 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Frédéric DarbellayAuthor VitaeMathis Stock 《Annals of Tourism Research》2012,39(1):441-458
Tourism is currently a complex and globalised phenomenon with demonstrated socio-economic importance. While tourism is a socially recognised phenomenon, its status as scientific object within an academic field seems to be still in question. We ask the following questions: What is the order of construction of the field of knowledge constituted around tourism? Is it a paradigmatic order or an epistemic order? In what ways do the scientific object’s specificities constitute an important element of understanding of a new episteme? How do different definitions of tourism allow for a reconstruction of the field? This article seeks to summarise the current debate in the light of broader reconstructions of scientific discourse and reflect from an interdisciplinary epistemological perspective. 相似文献
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宁波如意股份有限公司 《中国科技产业》2009,(2)
一、企业概况 宁波如意股份有限公司创建于1985年2月28日,2004年9月8日与德国永恒力(Jungheinrich)控股有限公司合资成立中德合资宁波如意股份有限公司,如意公司是国家级高新技术企业,地处长江三角洲经济强市--宁波,位于宁海县同三高速公路宁海出口处,地理位置优越,交通便捷. 相似文献
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Wendy A. Stock 《劳资关系》1998,37(4):478-498
This article examines how industries' share of employment in local labor markets affects displaced workers' reemployment, industry switching, and earnings losses. A key result is that workers displaced from industries with low employment shares are more likely to switch industries after displacement. Earnings loss estimates indicate that for most workers, displacement from an industry that employs a smaller share of the local labor force is associated with larger earnings losses. 相似文献
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James R. Stock 《Journal of Business Logistics》2001,22(1):125-256
A total of 317 logistics and logistics‐related dissertations were published in Dissertation Abstracts between 1992 and 1998. Observations about these dissertation abstracts are offered and comparisons made with earlier research studies that examined dissertations published between 1970–1986 and 1987–1991. The number of dissertations published has plateaued although the number of colleges and universities granting doctoral degrees in the area have broadened, with several “new players” entering the arena. Some traditional topics within logistics are being researched to a lesser degree, while others such as supply chain management, general logistics, customer service/satisfaction, international logistics, and human resources/organizational issues, are being examined more frequently. 相似文献