Granting preferential market access in services sequentially versus jointly with goods

Despite the cost and resource‐effectiveness of joint trade negotiations and complementarities between goods and services‐trade flows, more than 12% of the 132 WTO‐notified services‐trade agreements (STAs) in force until August 2015 were entered into effect sequentially to goods‐trade accords. This stylised fact motivates our study of the determinants of joint versus sequential negotiation/accession of goods and services accords, a subject hitherto unexplored in the growing literature on the determinants of STA membership. Our results suggest larger marginal effects of fundamental economic, geographic, institutional, doing business and services regulatory factors on the propensity of joint negotiation/accession compared to STA formation alone. Moreover, cultural‐distance variables are only found to affect the likelihood of joint preferential liberalisation of goods and services trade, without influencing STA‐only membership.     

Backward participation in global value chains and exchange rate driven adjustments of Swiss exports

This paper examines the effect of exchange rate movements on export volume, export revenues and propensity to export taking into account the extent of foreign value added content of exports (“backward integration”) in global value chains (GVCs). Using both product-level and firm-level panel data, our results suggest that Swiss exports (intensive margin) and the export probability (extensive margin) are negatively affected by a currency appreciation. However, this adverse effect is mitigated in sectors and firms that are more integrated in GVCs, which could be explained by the “natural hedging” of exchange rate movements. Our findings are robust to the use of different measures of natural hedging and GVC integration and also hold across various specifications and estimation methods that control for sample selection, firm heterogeneity, heteroskedastic errors and persistence in export behavior. The dynamic specifications also reveal that export hysteresis driven by a currency appreciation is a concern particularly for firms that are not established in export markets.     

Econometric Analyses of Home Bias in Government Procurement

The extent of discrimination in government procurement and its impact on economic efficiency has attracted both theoretical and analytical work, but little econometric evidence. We bridge this gap by building a new sector‐level dataset on domestic and foreign purchases by Japanese and Swiss governments over 1990–2003 to undertake “new” econometric analyses. Unlike previous work, we explain home‐bias using variables inspired by the political economy, trade‐macroeconomic and procurement literatures. We also provide “new” econometric evidence for previous theoretical predictions. Our results reveal the importance of domestic‐foreign productivity differences in governments’ cross‐border purchases and also support previous theoretical predictions. However, Membership of the World Trade Organizations's Agreement on Government Procurement is not found to increase market access.     

Complementarity,Compatibility, and Product Change: Breaking with the Past?

Product managers are caught between a rock and a cliche (or two). The market response to “new” Coke seems to support those who argue, “If it ain't broke, don't fix it.” On the other hand, rapidly shrinking product life-cycles lend credence to the notion that the only constant is change. Preserving the status quo places both the product and the company on a fast track to obsolescence. To remain competitive, companies need a structured approach to understanding and managing product change. Anirudh Dhebar offers such an approach by focusing on three interrelationships in which a product is involved. These interrelationships, or complementarities, are between a product and its users, other products with which the product is typically used, and databases that are created and repeatedly modified with the help of the product. These complementarities define the context in which the product is used. By understanding them, a company can better anticipate how a planned product change will affect consumers. In planning product changes, it is important to remember that effective use of the product requires compatibility between the product and its complements. A change that somehow disrupts the product's complementarities can be viewed as a break with the past. In other words, such a change creates a new version of the product which is incompatible with the old version. This type of change results in a switching cost for the consumer. That is, the consumer may have to invest time, money, and effort to reestablishing the complementarities that have been disrupted by the product change. For example, if a new software release includes significant changes to the user interface, consumers must weigh the potential benefits of any new features against the time and effort involved in relearning the interface. If these switching costs are too high, the new release will fail in the marketplace. When planning product changes, a company must recognize the extent of a product's complementarities, and assess how a break in any of them will affect consumers' switching costs. It is important to recognize that the switching costs and the perceived benefits of the new product version may not be the same for all consumers. Finally, careful consideration must be given to the implementation of the product change. For example, the company must decide whether to offer some sort of bridge that helps consumers make the break with the past. The company also needs to decide whether the change is implemented throughout the product line or only in selected models.     

Aid for trade and international transactions in goods and services

The empirical literature on aid for trade (AfT) mainly considers its effects on merchandise trade and investment. In this paper, we provide an in‐depth analysis of the relationship between AfT and trade in services using both aggregate and bilateral data. We find a statistically weak effect of AfT on both goods and services trade in our aggregate analysis once we account for endogeneity in the AfT–trade relationship. In contrast, the bilateral analysis suggests that AfT, in particular that allocated to services activities, especially economic infrastructure, has a positive effect on recipients’ merchandise exports to donor countries. This novel finding is robust across different lag structures and provides evidence of complementarities between services AfT and goods trade.     

Determinants of services trade agreement membership

Review of World Economics - Existing literature has examined factors underlying the formation of goods trade agreements (GTA) and bilateral investment treaties but not the determinants of services...