Who makes,who breaks: Which scientists stay in academe?

We examine the survival of young scientists in academe. The propensity to leave follows an inverse u-shape. Publishing increases and patenting decreases the chance of survival. Scientists with strong preferences for business are less likely to stay in academe.     

Will Ageing Lead to a Higher Real Exchange Rate for the Netherlands?

Long term projections for the Netherlands indicate that demand for nontradables—e.g. health care services—will increase relative to supply due to population ageing. If this leads to higher future real exchanges rates this will erode the return of the savings currently made to prepare for ageing. This paper explores the magnitude of potential price effects using a modified version of the two country, four commodity framework developed by Obstfeld and Rogoff (Brookings Papers Econ Activity 1:67–146, 2005) to explore the exchange rate effects of the balance of payments reversal in the US. When these price effects are substantial this may have serious consequences for policies to enhance national saving in the Netherlands.     

Mapas cognitivos difusos para la selección de proyectos de tecnologías de la información

The evaluation and selection of information technology projects is one of the most complex decision-making processes. To achieve alignment between projects and strategy is very important to analyze the goals and processes inside the organization. This paper presents a model for the selection of IT projects, based on the analysis of enterprise architecture. The proposal makes use of causal relations modelling using fuzzy cognitive maps. This approach facilitates the evaluation and selection of a project portfolio in order to achieve the desired future state of enterprise architecture. The model represents an attractive alternative or complement to existing methods in the evaluation of IT initiatives. A case study showing the application of the model to a professional services organization for the transformation of the enterprise architecture is shown.