Why will Trump lose the trade war?

ABSTRACT

The escalating U.S.–China trade conflicts have increasingly shadowed the outlook of the world economy. The Trump administration aims to achieve its strategic goals including reducing current account deficits, promoting the U.S. manufacturing sector, and curbing Chinese high-tech industries by waging the trade war against China. This paper argues that the current account deficits and the declining manufacturing sector in the U.S. are mainly driven by its internal structural factors, such as low saving rates, high labor costs, and rising service sector, rather than by the import competition from China. Moreover, the trade war further deteriorates the U.S. current account deficits and erode its comparative advantage, and it forces China to invest more in technological innovation and human capital, and thus promote its progress in high-tech industries. Thus, the U.S. will not be able to achieve its strategical goals and eventually lose the trade war.     

Self‐help in housing and chengzhongcun in China's urbanization

This article focuses on the housing issues of rural migrants arising from urbanization, with particular reference to chengzhongcun, a topic with considerable impact on policymaking. An attempt is made to understand the underlying rationale of self‐help in housing and the important role of chengzhongcun in sheltering rural migrants in the context of China's rural‐urban dichotomy. As demonstrated in this study, chengzhongcun accommodate, with little in the way of government resources and assistance, millions of rural migrants because of their social accessibility and affordability. While not denying their social problems, we argue that chengzhongcun in fact act as an innovative and positive agent to promote urbanization in present day China by housing massive numbers of rural migrants and assimilating them into cities. Current government policies towards chengzhongcun have generated a wide range of interest conflicts and confrontations. The consequences of such conflicts show that the government policies were problematic and unworkable, as they violated basic market principles as well as citizen rights. Policy strategy towards the redevelopment of chengzhongcun must acknowledge their credibility in the Chinese road to urbanization and requires more thoughtful and prudent consideration of migrants' demands for affordable housing.     

年薪制“两次喊停”告诉我们什么？

6年来,国企经营者年薪制改革两次因故受阻,这其中存在一些亟待解决的深层次问题。要理性认识年薪制改革当前的目标和作用,认识这一改革的艰巨性和长期性,突出重点,化解主要矛盾,推进年薪制改革顺利进行。     

生命周期评价方法及其应用

介绍了生命周期评价的目的、意义和基本方法，并运用该方法对燃煤发电、废纸造纸、废旧塑料气化发电等几种不同工业过程的环境影响进行了分析。     

提升服务能力服务行业发展

莫斯科大停电事故发生后,中电联专门请国家电网公司调度中心主任栾军同志和清华大学鲁宗相博士为本部副处级以上干部讲课。两位同志对莫斯科停电事故及俄罗斯电网的规划、建设、调度和管理等方面存在的问题进行了系统的阐述。会上,赵希正理事长结合莫斯科停电事故,分析了电网安全形势,并对新形势下中电联的建设和作用发挥提出了具体要求。     

国企购并的基本原则、操作误区及矫正策略

国企购并是根据市场经济的原则对资源进行有效配置的重要手段,也是从总体上盘活国有经济的重要举措,其行为主体应该是企业,但却必须在政府的政策引导和国家的法律保障的范围内有序进行。在具体实践过程中,由于思想认识上的偏差,国企购并陷入了操作中的误区,政府自觉不自觉地充当了国企购并的主体。因此,要想进一步规范国企购并的操作,就必须尽快出台有针对性和可操作性的相关法律法规,明确政府与企业之间责、权、利的范围和边界。     

金融效率视角的中国农村金融体制创新研究

当前农村金融效率低下已经成为中国金融体制的“软肋”和解决“三农”问题的重要障碍, 因此必须从金融产权、金融结构、金融价格、金融业务、金融业内部管理、外部环境等方面入手, 全面推动农村金融创新, 才能从根本上提高中国农村金融的运行效率。     

中国要向日本学习什么?--谈"节约型经济"与"中国世纪"

“中国世纪”的挑战先说中国目前面临的挑战。现在国际国内都有许多人正在谈论“中国世纪”。其实,中国的世纪仍然是一种想象。中国正在崛起,但世界上从来没有任何一个国家像崛起的中国那样感受到资源困窘的压力。如果中国不能克服前进道路上的矛盾,不能转变增长方式,就谈不上会有真正的“中国的世纪”。对于中国资源的困窘可从供需两方面来看。在供应方面,中国并非地大物博,中国的人均资源相当稀缺;而在需求方面,中国经济高速发展,国民对能源、水、土地等自然资源的需求正急剧增长,并将持续增长。众所周知,就大部分重要资源的人均占有水平…     

中国邮政储蓄银行小额贷款产品开发探析

为实现中国邮政储蓄银行小额贷款业务的利润最大化和可持续发展，文章分析了该产品的特性，从市场开发和风险控制两方面探讨了中国邮政储蓄银行小额贷款产品的发展策略。     

灌区配套与节水改造的设计体会

伊犁河流域现有灌溉面积678万亩。其中列入国家级大型灌区的有5个,现有灌溉面积为424万亩,在工程建设中的主要设计体会有：制定经济合理的规划设计方案,设计遵循因地制宜、统筹兼顾的原则,建筑物设计新颖别致、运行方便,尽量利用原有结构改建、降低工程造价,因地制宜规划设计渠道,为高寒地区湿陷性黄土地带渠道建设总结经验。