The Effect of Risk Characteristics on the Willingness to Pay for Mortality Risk Reductions from Electric Power Generation

The objective of this study is to estimate willingness to pay (WTP) for the reduction of mortality risks caused by fossil fuel (natural gas, coal and oil) versus nuclear electric power generation systems and to examine the influence of risk characteristics involved with electric power generation on WTP. A choice experiment was conducted to achieve these objectives. The attributes for nuclear risks in the experiment included the probability of disasters and the expected losses if a disaster occurs. We find evidence of (i) a baseline effect (where WTP is sensitive to hypothetical versus actual baseline expected mortality); (ii) a ‘labeling effect,’ where, surprisingly, the term ‘nuclear’ has no effect on WTP, but the term ‘fossil-fueled power generation’ results in lower WTP; and (iii) disaster aversion, meaning that people focus on the conditional loss from a nuclear disaster, not the probability. We also find that the WTP for reducing deaths from a nuclear disaster is about 60 times the WTP for routine reducing fossil-fuel generation-related deaths.     

Allocation of public funds to R&;D: a portfolio choice-styled decision model and a biotechnology case study

A decision problem—allocating public research and development (R&D) funding—is faced by a planner who has ambiguous knowledge of welfare effects of the various research areas. We model this as a reverse portfolio choice problem faced by a Bayesian decision-maker. Two elements of the planner’s inferential system are developed: a conditional distribution of welfare ‘returns’ on an allocation, given stated preferences of citizens for the different areas, and a minimum risk criterion for re-allocating these funds, given the performance of a status quo level of funding. A case study of Canadian public research funds expended on various applications of agricultural biotechnology is provided. The decision-making methodology can accommodate a variety of collective expenditure and resource allocation problems.     

Implications of Realization Uncertainty on Random Utility Models: The Case of Lottery Rationed Hunting

Conditional multinomial logit (MNL) models are often used to estimate the value of nonmarket resources under the assumption that consumer choices will be realized with certainty. The conditional MNL may not be appropriate when choices made may not be realized with certainty, such as when rationing mechanisms are used as a means of managing nonmarket resources. Two models that address this issue, developed by Boxall (1995) and Rouwendal (1989), are compared here to estimate welfare measures for moose hunting in Newfoundland. The results from these two models differ significantly from the results of a simple conditional MNL model .
Les modèles logit multinomiaux conditionnels (MNL) sont souvent utiliés pour calculer la valeur de ressources non marchandes, dans une hypothèse de départ voulant que les choir du consommateur sont assurés d'être réalisés. Ce genre de modèle peut toutefois ne pas convenir lorsque les choix fait ne sont pas assurés d'être pleinement réalisés, comme dans les cas où des mécanismes de rationnement sont imposés comme moyen de gérer ces ressources non marchandes. Nous comparons deux modèles conçus et mis au point, l'un par Boxall (1995), l'autre par Rouwendal (1989), pour estimer les mesures des effets socio-économiques d'une réglementation de la chasse de l'orignal a Terre-Neuve. Il apparaêt que ces deux modèles aboutissent à des résultats significativement différents de ceux obtenus par un modèle MNL conditionnet simple .     

Serial Nonparticipation in Repeated Discrete Choice Models

We consider alternative econometric strategies for addressing serial nonparticipation, that is, repeated choice of the same alternative or same type of alternative across a series of choice occasions, in data typically analyzed within the repeated discrete choice framework. Single and double hurdle variants of the repeated discrete choice model are developed and applied to choice experiment and multisite seasonal recreation demand data. Our results suggest that hurdle models can generate significant improvements in statistical fit and qualitatively different policy implications, particularly in choice experiment applications where the proper treatment of serial nonparticipation is relatively more ambiguous.     

Debt Literacy and Debt Literacy Self‐Assessment: The Case of Poland

It is well documented that financial literacy is at best moderate around the world and that the cost of ignorance in this field may be high on both microeconomic and macroeconomic levels. We surveyed a representative sample of Poles to measure their debt literacy—a little‐studied aspect of financial literacy—and therefore obtain insight into the factors predicting it. Our study evidenced low levels of debt literacy and its overestimation by respondents in their self‐reports. We also confirmed some of the patterns found in former studies, including the gender gap and a positive relationship between the level of educational attainment and debt literacy. Finally, our examination provides compelling outcomes with regard to the segmentation of the sample on the basis of objective and subjective debt literacy scores. They show large heterogeneity of debt literacy and thus confirm the need for far‐reaching customization of debt‐oriented education.     

Consumers' Preferences for GM Food and Voluntary Information Access: A Simultaneous Choice Analysis

Previous studies on information and consumer choices have typically assumed that information is exogenous in that information made available to consumers is generally treated as being both received and processed. Based on a choice experiment on consumers' stated preferences for genetically modified food that provides for voluntary information access, this study allows information access decisions to be endogenous to the product choice decision‐making process. Instead of assuming correlated error terms between these decisions, the approach used in this analysis builds upon structural correlations between two models that individually consider each of these two decisions. We find that the two types of decisions are related and that there is heterogeneity across individuals in the nature of this relationship. Des études antérieures sur l'information et les choix des consommateurs ont typiquement supposé que l'information est exogène, en ce sens que l'information mise à la disposition des consommateurs est généralement considérée comme étant à la fois reçue et traitée. Selon une méthode de choix expérimentaux sur les préférences déclarées des consommateurs quant aux aliments génétiquement modifiés offrant l'accès volontaire à l'information, la présente étude permet aux décisions d'accès à l'information d'être endogènes au processus de décision lié au choix du produit. Au lieu de supposer des termes d'erreur corrélés entre ces décisions, la méthode utilisée dans la présente analyse mise sur la corrélation structurale entre les deux modèles qui examinent individuellement ces deux décisions. Nous trouvons que les deux types de décisions sont liés et qu'il existe une hétérogénéité entre les individus quant à la nature de ce lien.     

Complements, Substitutes, Budget Constraints and Valuation

This study employs a multi-program contingent valuation (CVM) design tosimultaneously assess the value of three ecosystem conservation programsin Alberta, Canada. The design is different from most other CVM designsand has several different features including the natural incorporation ofdirect reminders of substitute/complementary programs and budgetconstraints. In contrast to the findings of other studies, two of the environmentalprograms appear to be complements and other combinations of the programssuggest an absence of substitution effects. The multi-program model ismore informative and robust in terms of theoretical validity and expectedrelationships with demographic and recreational characteristics of therespondents.