Shaken or Stirred? Financial Deregulation and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Norway

Is there a credit channel for monetary policy? Has the deregulation of financial markets had any temporary or permanent effects on the monetary transmission mechanism? We present empirical evidence on these issues for Norway by estimating a dynamic system of money, credit, real income and inflation. We find that the deregulation process has not caused any permanent shifts in the long‐run demand functions. Within a small simultaneous dynamic model, there is some evidence for the credit view of the monetary transmission mechanism, as both credit and money exhibit strong and stable effects on aggregate demand. JEL classification: E50; E44; C51     

我国非煤矿山风险管理现状分析与对策研究

随着我国非煤矿山安全生产水平的不断提升,风险管理发挥着巨大的作用,但目前仍然存在一些问题。本文就这些问题进行分析、探究,并就如何提高风险管理水平提出了一些建议。     

Pricing real assets with costly search

Markets for many real assets are characterized by sequentialsearch followed by bilateral bargaining between matched buyersand sellers. For a category of real assets, the joint, intertemporalvaluation problems of buyers, owners, and sellers and the associatedNash pricing function are solved explicity. In equilibrium,the average transaction price is a noisy, proportional randomwalk, and the liquidity premium is positive for matched owners.Depending on the values of the parameters, the liquidity ofoptimal development with costly search, the optimal exercisepoint, cost of development, and value of the undeveloped assetare calculated analytically. With search, development can occursooner and undeveloped assets have lower market values thanthe standard solution without search.     

Financial and industrial structure with agency

A subgame perfect Nash equilibrium is characterized for an industrywith dissipative costs of agency. In sequence, firms can enterthe industry, raise capital with external debt and/or equity,invest in a capital-intensive technology of dissipate capitalin perquisites, and finally produce output. For plausible valuesof two critical parameters, some firms forego in equilibriuminvestments with positive net present values. Although moremanagers would like their firms to invest in the capital-intensivetechnology, they cannot raise the required cash in the capitalmarket. In equilibrium, the industry can have both a profitablecore of large, secure, capital-intensive firms, with some debtbut no unique optimal capital structure, and a competitive fringeof small, risky, labor-intensive firms. Even as the cost ofentry converges to zero, capital-intensive firms can earn extraordinaryprofits, while all labor-intensive firms fail. With costly agency,access to capital can become a barrier to entry.     

Equilibrium and options on real assets

In aggregate, options on real and financial assets can havevery different properties. Typically, the good or service producedby a real asset has a finite elasticity of demand, and developershave finite capacities. Also, the supply of options can be limited,and developers can be less than perfectly competitive. In asubgame, perfect Nash equilibrium with these properties, theoptimal exercise policy, and resulting values of developed andundeveloped assets are calculated explicitly. The novel comparativestatics are discussed in detail.     

The demand for money in secular perspective: The case of Norway, 1867–1980

This paper presents some evidence from Norwegian data on some of the long-standing empirical issues of money demand. The choice of a scale variable and the issue of simultaneous equations bias is subjected to some recently developed statistical tests. The outcome favours a permanent income model of money demand. No significant simultaneity bias was detected. Various specifications of explanatory variables, like the own yield on money, interest rates and price expectations as well as the issues of price level homogeneity and stability between subperiods are also considered in the paper.     

A quantitative reassessment of the purchasing power parity hypothesis: Evidence from Norway and the United Kingdom

Annual data from Norway and the United Kingdom from 1874 to 1971 are used to reassess the empirical performance of the purchasing power parity (PPP) doctrine. The simple version of the PPP relationship is supported by the data only if different short-run dynamics during a floating-rate period 1914–1928 is allowed for. Two sets of factors were found to be important in amending the simple PPP model. These were short-run cyclical variables affecting the adjustment towards the PPP equilibrium relationship and long-run structural factors such as productivity and terms of trade. Within this expanded model the proportionality between the exchange rate and relative price levels could not be rejected.     

New series for agricultural prices in London, 1770–1914

New annual series for the prices of major agricultural commodities sold in London markets between 1770 and 1914 are presented. These series are based on bimonthly observations drawn from newspaper market reports. The products covered are wheat, barley (grinding and malting), oats, potatoes, hay, butter, beef, mutton, and pork. Annual prices are calculated for both calendar and production years. The new series are compared to existing series.