房产税能否抑制实体经济"脱实向虚"——来自上海和重庆的经验分析

本文利用我国35个大中城市2006-2018年的平衡面板数据,基于上海和重庆在2011年实施的房产税试点政策,运用合成控制法检验房产税政策能否抑制实体经济"脱实向虚"发展的趋势.研究结果显示,房产税政策能够有效地遏制地区房地产业新增产值占GDP的比重的上升,促使实体企业回归主业,增加实体投资,实现促进实体经济朝着"脱虚返实"方向发展的作用.鉴于此,本文提出应加快推进房产税政策在全国范围内的实施,并在政府补贴、银行贷款等方面采取一系列配套措施鼓励实体企业进行更多的实体投资.     

深山“皮夹沟” 崛起一座城

立春,傍晚。群峰叠嶂之中,万州龙驹镇的大街上仍显热闹,店铺闪烁的霓虹灯,商家揽客的热情,居民区升腾起的炊烟,构成了一幅特别的边城夜景图。龙驹镇是脱贫攻坚战中,重庆确立的18个深度贫困乡镇之一。一个长期以穷出名的偏远小镇,如今繁华初显,场镇人口达2.6万余人。它的蝶变,令人称奇。新年伊始,我们走进龙驹镇,从它浓浓的烟火味中,感受它的改变。     

Does an Audit Judgment Rule Increase or Decrease Auditors' Use of Innovative Audit Procedures?

The current audit environment encourages auditors to conduct defensive auditing procedures in lieu of using new, innovative, and potentially more effective audit procedures, due to concerns these procedures may be second-guessed in litigation or by audit inspectors such as the PCAOB. As a result, auditors may prefer traditional “generally accepted” procedures over innovative procedures that are potentially more effective. We test recent proposals that an Audit Judgment Rule (AJR) encourages the use of innovative, and potentially more effective, audit procedures analogous to the similar Business Judgment Rule that affords legal protections to corporate directors. Under an AJR, litigators or audit inspectors could not second-guess auditor judgments, even if they perceive that alternate judgments would have ordinarily been reached, provided the auditor's judgment was made in good faith and in a rigorous manner. However, the AJR's requirements that auditors must defend the rigor of their innovative judgments could potentially backfire and lead auditors to select more traditional procedures. Under the framework of goal activation theory, we conduct an experiment with audit managers and seniors and find that an AJR makes auditors less likely to select innovative audit procedures, particularly when audit risk is high. They do so despite believing the innovative procedures to be more effective than the traditional procedures. Findings from a supplementary experiment with experienced auditors further suggest that national office affirmation of the reasonableness of the procedures does not help overcome this effect. Overall, our findings suggest that an AJR may have the unintended consequence of further increasing auditors' focus on more traditional, and potentially less effective, audit procedures.     

公司增发与市值管理——基于中国A股上市公司的实证研究

采用2005—2014年中国A股有增发股份记录的上市公司的市场数据,检验了被广泛讨论的"市值管理"现象。结果表明:所有权性质、增发目的、增发对象、经营状况以及市值存在差异的上市公司,在其增发股份前后及期间的超额收益率和股价信息含量存在很大差异,这些差异与不同公司进行增发的诉求一致。这说明,中国A股市场广泛存在服务于公司控制人的市值管理行为。由于这些市值管理行为可能包括控制股价和侵害其他投资人,因此监管层应制定更为严格的法规来规范市值管理行为。     

Workplace incivility and work engagement: The mediating role of job insecurity and the moderating role of self-perceived employability

Drawing upon the job demand–resource model and the theory of existence, relatedness, and growth needs, we established and checked a model that connects workplace incivility to employee work engagement (i.e., vigor, dedication, and absorption) through job insecurity. Furthermore, we propose and test self-perceived employability as the boundary condition of this connection. The conclusions of two substudies with time-delay design provided evidence to support theoretical models. Specifically, the conclusions of both studies show that workplace incivility has negative impacts on work engagement (i.e., vigor, dedication, and absorption) through job insecurity. The results of Study 2 show that self-perceived employability not only weakens the negative influences of job insecurity on work engagement (i.e., vigor, dedication, and absorption) but also moderates the mediating roles of job insecurity in the relationships between workplace incivility and work engagement (i.e., vigor, dedication, and absorption). The theoretical and practical implications and limitations are discussed based on the conclusions of the two substudies.     

Corporate Governance and the Investment Efficiency of Diversified Corporate Asset Buyers

Many corporate assets are bought and sold each year in the U.S. and most scholars believe these transactions improve economic efficiency. But given the reality that the interests of corporate managers may diverge from those of their shareholders and reflect empire‐building or other managerial entrenchment strategies—and that such agency problems tend to be worse in highly diversified, multi‐divisional companies—the authors tested the proposition that diversified corporate asset buyers with more effective governance structures can be expected to allocate capital more efficiently, as reflected in higher rates of return on operating capital and more favorable market reactions to the announcements of their purchases. Using a sample of diversified U.S. companies that announced large asset purchases between 1988 and 2006, the authors report finding that the investment allocation process following such asset purchases was more consistent with value creation in the case of diversified buyers with more effective governance structures, which were identified by their greater board independence, higher‐quality audit committees, and higher levels of stock ownership by institutional ownership, directors, and CEOs.     

电离层闪烁对跟踪测量的影响分析及规避策略

针对某南方卫星测控站测控信号频繁被干扰的情况展开研究。首先介绍国内外对电离层闪烁原理及监视预警方面的研究成果,然后分析电离层闪烁的时空效应原理,通过计算对比电离层强闪烁监测预报数据和卫星测控站的实时观测数据,发现电离层闪烁与卫星测控站跟踪测量信号的幅度、相位抖动以及接收机失锁之间的相关性,最后提出相应的规避策略,期望为后续测控设备的电离层闪烁防护预警研究提供一定的借鉴和参考。     

后起国家技术寻求型OFDI机理研究:基于韩国的案例分析

利用国外的先进技术弥补本国技术上的不足,是后起国家加快技术进步实现现代化的基本路径。文章以韩国为例,研究了其从引进来到走出去的技术进步路径,结果表明,韩国技术寻求型OFDI具有始发于工业化中后期阶段、着眼于高新技术产业、主要面向发达国家和地区、以国内大企业为主导和得力于政府全方位积极推动的特征。在此基础上,对我国开展技术寻求型OFDI,提出要注重区域异质性、培育具有竞争力的大型企业集团、立足于高新技术产业,政府提供多方面的政策与服务支持等对策建议。     

产业转型升级背景下高职院校大学生创新创业教育探索——以安徽商贸职业技术学院为例

创新创业教育作为高校的基本教育目标,目前存在着理念不新、课程体系不完善、师资匮乏、实践平台有限等难题.以安徽商贸职业技术学院创新创业教育实践为例,对存在的问题进行了剖析,并提出了对策建议,如转变观念,建立创新创业常态化的教学理念;建立多层次、多元化课程体系,完善教学标准;强化师资队伍建设;加强创业实践基地建设等.     

Net Equity and Debt Flows to Emerging Market and Developing Economies in the Post-Crisis Era

We investigate the determinants of net equity and debt flows into 60 emerging and developing countries during 1986–2012, with a special focus on the period following the onset of the global financial crisis (GFC). Our results controlling for endogeneity show that net equity flows to emerging markets were mostly influenced by global risk factors, while net debt flows were affected by country-specific factors. We further distinguish the factors that were more pronounced in determining net portfolio flows to emerging markets since the GFC. The US real interest rate had significant spillover effects on net equity flows after the GFC. An increase in country’s domestic credit attracted net debt inflows before the GFC, while it was associated with net equity outflows after the GFC. We also find that capital controls moderated net debt flows since the GFC.