基于新区域主义的长三角区域化研究

20世纪80年代以来产生的新区域主义深刻地影响了当代区域化的进程,本文在分析新区域主义产生和对比新旧区域主义的基础上,建议长三角地区应该以新区域主义理论为指导,完善考核体系,形成协调机构,促进要素流动等方面促进区域化的发展。     

亚洲金融区域主义的政治逻辑

本文探讨了"合法性"与"权力"在金融区域主义方面的因果效应。当前以G7为主导的全球体制中合法性的明显缺失和国家间权力格局的变化影响了东亚的政策决策。东亚国家寻求"抗衡性"的战略,也即在保持着与以G7为中心的全球金融体制合作关系的情况下,通过发展自身的区域性制度(或其他潜在方案)以避免对前者的过度依赖。上述观察意味着,除非现存全球金融体制解决了合法性问题,并且当前(有利于东亚的)权力转移发生逆转,亚洲新兴经济体不会将应对国际金融问题的全部希望寄于全球性的解决方案。     

On the size and number of preferential trading arrangements

This paper uses a multi-country political economy model to investigate the possibility of achieving global free trade through the expansion of Preferential Trading Arrangements (PTAs). It is shown that bloc expansion would result in global free trade if blocs have an open membership. However, that would not be the case if membership were selective: at some point, the members of the bloc would stop accepting new members and this would lead to the creation of a second bloc. The likelihood of such a second bloc would make the members of the first bloc choose a larger bloc size than they would have chosen if only one bloc was allowed to form.     

经济全球化背景下的深圳公共文化建设

深圳公共文化包括公共文化设施、文化场所、文化活动,它具有文化性、公益性、社会性、地域性。目前准确把握公共文化的基本特性,在经济全球化背景下卓有成效地开展深圳公共文化建设,对促进经济和社会发展,具有十分重要的意义。     

Towards the Latin American Regiocentric Corporation

Abstract

Globalization and regionalism are emerging with force in Latin America and a new breed of Latin American corporations is making its mark in response to this new reality. These corporations are exploiting technology, low costs, and their in-depth understanding of the region's intricate cultural fabric to compete with global firms and become regional players in niches neglected by these powerful rivals. Using the integration-responsiveness framework, this paper describes the evolution and characteristics of regional strategies in selected Latin American companies and speculates on the potential reversal of these strategies as Latin American economies attempt to insulate themselves from the recent international financial crisis.     

东盟与东亚经济合作

20世纪90年代以来，东亚出现新地区主义发展趋势，其基本思想是在加强南北合作的基础上，在本地区建立一个开放的、多层次、有大国参与的多边自由贸易区，同时加强双边合作。在此背景下，东盟不断调整其区域经济一体化战略，重视开放的、发展的地区主义，并在推动东亚区域合作进程中发挥了重要作用。     

Negotiating free trade

We develop a dynamic bargaining model in which a leading country endogenously decides whether to sequentially negotiate free trade agreements with subsets of countries or engage in simultaneous multilateral bargaining with all countries at once. We show how the structure of coalition externalities shapes the choice between sequential and multilateral bargaining, and we identify circumstances in which the grand coalition is the equilibrium outcome, leading to worldwide free trade. A model of international trade is then used to illustrate equilibrium outcomes and how they depend on the structure of trade and protection. Global free trade is not achieved when the political-economy motive for protection is sufficiently large. Furthermore, the model generates both “building bloc” and “stumbling bloc” effects of preferential trade agreements. In particular, we describe an equilibrium in which global free trade is attained only when preferential trade agreements are permitted to form (a building bloc effect), and an equilibrium in which global free trade is attained only when preferential trade agreements are forbidden (a stumbling bloc effect). The analysis identifies conditions under which each of these outcomes emerges.     

The size of trading blocs Market power and world welfare effects

We construct an n-country n-commodity trade model to analyze the implications of bloc size for (Nash) equilibrium tariffs and welfare. The relationship between the absolute size of (symmetric) trading blocs and their market power is ambiguous, and we illustrate how this relationship varies with model parameters. In contrast, sufficiently large increases in the relative size of a bloc enhance its relative market power and cause the welfare of its country members to rise above the free trade level. We establish the existence of an optimal bloc size, and study the dependence of optimal size on the parameters of the model.     

贸易一体化条件下区域一体化组织模式——基于“异质”结构成员的研究

本文提出了"异质"结构成员(如东亚、北美)间的区域一体化组织模式新架构,并对典型的几个区域一体化模型进行了经验检验,认为基于贸易一体化的"异质"结构成员间区域一体化组织模式,可以更加合理地解释东亚贸易实践。