经济发展的税收效应定量分析

采取面板数据模型分析了经济发展的税收效应,发现经济发展的不同层面对税收的影响不同,表明政府在进行税收改革时要充分考虑经济发展的反作用。结果显示,生活水平提高总体上会降低税率、流转税比重和其他税比重以及提高所得税比重,实际经济增长率增加会提高税率和其他税比重、降低流转税比重和所得税比重,城乡收入差距扩大会降低税率、所得税比重和其他税比重以及提高流转税比重。     

中国商业银行特许权价值:基于面板数据的实证研究

银行特许权价值(FV)与银行的冒险动机密切相关,FV高的银行因珍惜其FV,避免破产后被吊销执照,会自动采取审慎的经营战略;反之,FV低的银行则冒险动机强烈,导致银行失败的可能性更大。实证研究表明,国内商业银行单位资本的特许权价值(UBFV)虽然较原先有所改善,并逐渐提高,但取值仍然不高,特别是国有商业银行的UBFV还在零值附近徘徊。这揭示了中国商业银行缺乏自律动机,冒险违规事件屡屡出现的内在原因。中国商业银行只有在金融全球化、一体化的浪潮中准确把握自身优势与不足,努力提高FV,抑制过度冒险冲动,实现审慎经营,才能在全球竞争中立于不败之地。     

西部地区民间投资发展滞后的研究

改革开放以来,西部地区经济发展一直落后于东部沿海发达省份,原因之一是西部民间投资不足。为了解释西部地区民间投资发展不足的现象,本文从新制度经济学的视角进行分析,初步量化制度因素,选取2000-2007年西部10个省市构造面板数据,对西部民间投资自西部大开发以来的发展进行了实证分析,并总结了西部民间投资滞后的制度原因,提出了相应的对策建议。     

The pricing of audit and non-audit services in a regulated environment: a longitudinal study of the UK life insurance industry

This paper studies the relationship between audit and non-audit service fees paid to the statutory auditor by UK life insurance firms, utilising an extensive panel-data sample set for the period 1999–2009. Consistent with a knowledge spillover (impairment of independence) hypothesis, we predict and find that audit fees are positively (negatively) associated with actuarial (tax service) fees. Additionally, our results indicate that regulatory changes enforced after 2004 deterred UK life insurance firms from purchasing non-audit services that are perceived to impair auditor independence. Finally, we find evidence concerning the inter-temporal determination of audit fees.     

Intellectual property rights protection and recorded music sales��focus on 26 OECD countries panel data

This thesis mainly studies the relationship between intellectual property rights protection and recorded music sales by use of 26 OECD countries panel data from 2000 to 2007. Following Png and Wang (2006), the production equation of recorded music is developed. Meanwhile, the author introduces other independent variables such as per capita GDP, employment rate and R&D, population and economic openness. The econometric methods consist of two way fixed effects method, Arellano-Bond dynamic panel-data estimation and dynamic panel-data estimation, one-step difference GMM (generalized method of moments) by use of Stata 10.0. The findings are as followings: Intellectual property rights (IPRs) protection exerts positive effect on recorded music sales, and the influencing coefficient is at the range of 0.815 to 0.915. Meanwhile, economic openness also has positive influence. The studying results suggest that IPRs protection can reinforce the sale of recorded music, and it is very urgent to enhance IPRs protection.     

区域高技术产业创新驱动力分析——基于产业集群的视角

创新和集群是当前我国发展高技术产业的两大途径,文章在对经典的知识生产函数进行改进的基础上,构建了综合考虑R＆D经费和知识存量的知识生产函数,并将产业集群内知识溢出因素和政府支持力度引入该函数,借助于空间面板模型分析方法,从产业集群的视角对高技术产业区域创新驱动力进行了实证分析,分析结果表明：考虑了R＆D存量因素的知识生产函数能够比较准确地揭示区域高技术产业知识生产的投入产出关系,区域内的产业集群因素和区域间的知识溢出都对区域高技术产业创新产出影响显著。     

A micro data approach to the identification of credit crunches

This article presents a micro data approach to the identification of credit crunches. Using a survey among German firms which regularly queries the firms' assessment of the current willingness of banks to extend credit, we estimate the probability of a restrictive loan supply policy by time taking into account the creditworthiness of borrowers. Creditworthiness is approximated by firm-specific factors, e.g. the firms' assessment of their current business situation and their business expectations. After controlling for the return on the banks' risk-free investment alternative, which is also likely to affect the supply of loans, we derive a credit crunch indicator, which measures that part of the shift in the loan supply that is neither explained by firm-specific factors nor by the opportunity costs of providing risky loans.     

人民币升值对辽宁装备制造业影响实证分析

辽宁省装备制造业一直为辽宁经济发展发挥重要作用。随着人民币升值压力的逐渐加大,辽宁省装备制造业也面临着较大的考验。本文首先将辽宁装备制造业分为七个子行业,然后采用面板数据分析模型评估了各子行业的外汇风险暴露的程度,为应对人民币升值,给出了促进辽宁省装备制造业各子行业良好健康发展的政策建议。     

产权结构与商业银行贷款中的风险行为

产权结构是集中反映当前中国银行业公司治理特征的重要变量。基于我国14家代表性商业银行1994-2004年的面板数据，本文实证检验了产权结构差异对银行贷款中风险行为的影响。分析结果表明：在放贷过程中，非国有银行比国有银行更加谨慎，上市银行比非上市股份制银行更为谨慎。此外，国民经济的持续增长显著增加了商业银行贷款中的风险行为。银行贷款风险对存贷利差的变化并不敏感，对此尚未完成的利率市场化进程可作为部分解释。     

Regional tourism development: culture,nature, life cycle and attractiveness

In this article, a simplified version of the tourism area life cycle model is developed in order to identify different stages of tourism evolution among the regions of Southwest Europe (Italy, France, Spain and Portugal). This information has been included as a dummy variable in a panel data model which aims to explain regional tourism attractiveness, between 2003 and 2008, including other variables related to sustainability (regional natural and cultural resources), regional innovative efforts and other elements related to tourism infrastructures and economic conditions that influence regional tourism performance. The results obtained show that 50% of the inland regions and 56% of the west coast regions are in the exploration stage while 52% of the south coast regions are in stagnation. An important result from the application of the panel data model is the identification of a positive relation between the regional availability of natural and cultural assets, the regional efforts on innovation and the evolution of tourism demand, suggesting that these regions are generally incorporating these local specific resources in innovative ways to differentiate their tourism supply.