| 基于灰色系统模型的达州市农业经济预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 张超锋,张莉敏.基于灰色系统模型的达州市农业经济预测[J].科技和产业,2012,12(8):75-77. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张超锋 张莉敏 |
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| 作者单位： | 四川文理学院数学与财经系,四川达州,635000 |
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| 基金项目： | 四川文理学院人文社会科学基金项目，四川革命老区发展研究中心课题 |
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| 摘 要： | 以灰色系统理论为基础对达州农业总产值和相关产业进行灰色关联分析,建立了达州市农业经济的GM(1,1)预测模型,对达州近几年农业经济产值进行预测,与真实值进行对比结果表明,运用灰色系统模型的方法对达州农业经济产值的预测与实际比较接近,最后结合本文对达州市农业经济发展提出了若干政策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 农业经济 灰色关联分析 GM(1 1)预测模型 |
Forecasting of Dazhou Agricultural Economy Based on Grey System Model |
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| ZHANG Chao-feng,ZHANG Li-min.Forecasting of Dazhou Agricultural Economy Based on Grey System Model[J].SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY AND INDUSTRIAL,2012,12(8):75-77. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Chao-feng ZHANG Li-min |
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| Institution: | (Department of Mathematics and Finance-Economics,Sichuan University of Arts and Science,Dazhou Sichuan 635000,China) |
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| Abstract: | Total product of agriculture and its related industry was analyzed based on grey system theory and forecasting model was formed using GM(1,1)method.The forecasting value is close to the real data of recent years.So the forecasting method based on grey system model is proper in this paper.Finally,some advice is provided according to our conclusions. |
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| Keywords: | agricultural economy grey correlated analysis GM(1 1) forecasting model |
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