方案规划:市场经济体系下城市总体规划的有效工具

城市规划方案的核心内容包括对下列问题的回答:哪种土地利用类型,多大土地开发强度,在哪里,什么时候,为什么开发,同时如何通过交通发展将新开发的土地有机地联系起来,如何提供城市基础设施满足新增的城市空间发展.当然,城市规划也要回答如何将城市经济发展与环境保护,社会发展,文化和历史文物保护等连接起来.本文介绍方案规划,内容,要素,及其评价.指出方案规划定量地模拟未来城市发展,客观定量地评价不同的城市规划方案,避免或减少规划方案评价的主观因素,提高决策的科学性.

Scenario Planning:An Effective Tool for Planning City under Market System

Core questions in urban planning are:what type,where,when,how much(development intensity),of land is developed and how best urban services(including transportation)are provided to serve urban spatial growth.Of course,urban planning also needs to address the need and concern of economic development,environmental protection,social development,cultural preservation etc.This paper introduces scenario planning and illustrates it can simulate urban development patterns,quantitatively and objectively evaluate and assess plans,avoid or eliminate arbitrary determination of urban plan.