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A Note on Credit Risk of Vertical Keiretsu Firms: Preliminary Evidence from the Japanese Automobile Industry
Authors:Naoya?Takezawa  author-information"  >  author-information__contact u-icon-before"  >  mailto:ntakezaw@iuj.ac.jp"   title="  ntakezaw@iuj.ac.jp"   itemprop="  email"   data-track="  click"   data-track-action="  Email author"   data-track-label="  "  >Email author,Nobuya?Takezawa
Affiliation:(1) Graduate School of International Management, International University of Japan, Yamato-machi Niigata, Japan, 949-7277;(2) Division of International Studies, International Christian University, Mitaka Tokyo, Japan, 181
Abstract:This paper empirically examines the relationship between the credit risk of Toyota, Nissan and Honda keiretsu-affiliated firms and the credit risk of the respective parent company. As credit spread data for keiretsu-affiliated firms were not available we create a keiretsu default index, as a proxy, using expected default probabilities obtained from the KMV and Leland and Toft (J. Finance 51, 987–1019, 1996) option pricing models. We find parent credit spreads do not Granger cause our keiretsu default index and vice versa in a bivariate vector autoregressive (VAR) framework.JEL classification: G3, L62
Keywords:automobile  default probability  Keiretsu  KMV  option pricing  vector autoregression
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