“Theory on China's Grain Crisis” Lacks Scientific Basis

China is marching on towards the21st century with full confidence,and is forging ahead towards thegoal of socialist modernization. Near theturn of the century, a piece of sensationalnews was transmitted from abroad: "Whowill support China by the year 2030?" Thisproblem was put forward by Mr. Brown,director of the American Research Instituteof World Observation, He said that China'sPopulation is increasing, its cultivated landis decreasing, sown areas are being reducedand will continue to be reduced. The per unitarea yield is approaching its ultimate, so thattotal output will continue to fall. By the year2030, grain output produced by China itselfwill be reduced to 263 million tons, and willnot meet the grain needs of 479 million tonsor 568 million tons or 641 million tons for apopulation of 1.6 billion (consumption percapita is counted in terms of 300 kg, 350 kg