我国工业集聚与城市化关系的实证研究

运用协整检验、因果分析等动态经济计量分析方法，对我国1978-2005年的工业集聚与城市化进程之间的关系进行实证分析，分析表明二者存在着长期均衡的协同互动关系。工业集聚是影响我国城市化的重要原因，而城市化进程对工业集聚的变动也有显著的影响。工业集聚加剧了人口的集聚，构成城市集聚的基础，是城市化发展的重要推动力；城市的规模越大，人口越多，集聚性越强，对周围地区的工业向心力越强。

Empirical research into relationship between industrial agglomeration and urbanization in China

This paper analyzes the relationship between the industrial agglomeration and urbanization progress of China from 1978 to 2005 by dynamic econometric analysis methods as Co-integration Test and Causality Tests , and the results show that a long-term balanced collaborative interactive relationship exists in the two. The industrial agglomeration is obviously an important factor to have great effect on urbanization and urbanization progress also affects the change of industrial agglomeration. Industrial agglomeration has hastened the population agglomeration, which composes the basis of the city agglomeration as an important motive force of urbanization. The larger a city gets, the larger the population gets together, the stronger the agglomeration power is, the stronger its industrial centripetal force in the vicinity is.