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Demand and supply estimation biases due to omission of durability
Authors:Jiawei Chen  Susanna Esteban  Matthew Shum
Institution:1. Department of Economics, University of California-Irvine, Irvine, CA 92697, USA;2. Department of Economics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Getafe, 28903 Madrid, Spain;3. Division of Humanities and Social Sciences, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA 91125, USA
Abstract:We build a dynamic equilibrium model of a durable goods oligopoly with a competitive secondary market to evaluate the bias in estimating the structural parameters of demand and supply when durability is omitted. We simulate data from our dynamic model and use them to estimate the model’s static counterpart. We find that the static estimate of the elasticity of demand is an overestimate of the true elasticity and that the static estimate of the markup is an underestimate. Our results provide a benchmark on the magnitude and sign of the bias when static models are used for economic inference.
Keywords:C13  C73  L11  L13  L62
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