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Dominance of a Class of Stein type Estimators for Optimal Portfolio Weights When the Covariance Matrix is Unknown
Authors:Takuya Kinkawa  Nobuo Shinozaki
Institution:(1) Department of Statistics, European University Viadrina, 15230 Frankfurt (Oder), Germany
Abstract:For the estimation problem of mean-variance optimal portfolio weights, several previous studies have proposed applying Stein type estimators. However, few studies have addressed this problem analytically. Since the form of the loss function used in this problem is not of the quadratic type commonly used in statistical studies, there have been some difficulties in showing analytically the general dominance results. However, dominance results are given here of a class of Stein type estimators for the mean-variance optimal portfolio weights when the covariance matrix is unknown and is estimated. The class of estimators is broader than the one given in a previous study. The results we have obtained enable us to clarify conditions for some previously proposed estimators in finance to have smaller risks than the estimator which we obtain by plugging in the sample estimates.
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