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Optimal instruments when the disturbances are small
Authors:Roger W. Klein
Affiliation:Bell Laboratories, Homdel, NJ 07733, USA
Abstract:
Single-equation instrumental variable estimators (e.g., the k-class) are frequently employed to estimate econometric equations. This paper employs Kadane's (1971) small-σ method and a squared-error matrix loss function to characterize a single-equation class of optimal instruments, A. A is optimal (asymptotically for a small scalar multiple, σ, of the model's disturbance) in that all of its members are preferred to all non-members. From this characterization it is shown all k-class estimators and certain iterative estimators belong to A. However, non-iterative principal component estimators [e.g., Kloek and Mennes (1960)] are unlikely to belong to A. These latter instrumental variable estimators have been advocated [see Amemiya (1966) and Kloek and Mennes (1960)] for estimating ‘large’ econometric models.
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