Regional long-term forecasts: A synthesis of technological and economic approaches |
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Authors: | L. I. Vlasyuk P. A. Minakir |
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Affiliation: | 16280. Economic Research Institute, Far Eastern Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Khabarovsk, Russia
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Abstract: | The paper describes a long-term two-scenario forecast of the economy of the Far East, compiled as a synthesis of scientific-technological and general economic approaches, using a modeling program complex. The paper presents the results of probabilistic systemic transformations in the region’s economic and social environment for as long as until 2050. The forecast was based on a scientific and technological foresight and evaluations of scenarios of the dynamics of general economic parameters. |
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