首都机场客运量预测

机场客流量预测对于机场未来规划和管理措施改进有重要意义。本文根据影响机场客流量的主要因素——GDP为主要条件,采用计量模型预测对首都机场未来五年客运量进行了预测分析。然后加入北京市人均可支配收入、正班客座率、飞机起降架次等因素,采用支持向量机的方法做出预测。

Capital Airport Passenger Throughput Prediction

Passenger throughput predication is important to the airport planning and improvement of airport management.In this article,GDP which is the main influence factor is incorporated in the econometric model and grey predication of the passenger throughput in future 5 years of capital airport.Then the SVM(support vector machine) is used to make prediction considering the per capita disposable income,load factor,aircraft movement and so on.