Estimating the autocorrelated error model with trended data |
| |
Authors: | Rolla Edward Park Bridger M. Mitchell |
| |
Affiliation: | The Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, CA 90406, USA |
| |
Abstract: | A Monte Carlo study of the small sample properties of various estimators of the linear regression model with first-order autocorrelated errors. When independent variables are trended, estimators using Ttransformed observations (Prais-Winsten) are much more efficient than those using T–1 (Cochrane–Orcutt). The best of the feasible estimators isiterated Prais-Winsten using a sum-of-squared-error minimizing estimate of the autocorrelation coefficient ?. None of the feasible estimators performs well in hypothesis testing; all seriously underestimate standard errors, making estimated coefficients appear to be much more significant than they actually are. |
| |
Keywords: | |
本文献已被 ScienceDirect 等数据库收录! |
|