中印工业制成品贸易的本地市场效应比较研究

本地市场效应意味着一国的国内市场规模对工业制成品的出口具有促进作用。本文利用两个模型对中国和印度工业制成品贸易中的本地市场效应进行了检验,并通过相应的比较分析认为中国的工业制成品出口存在较为显著的本地市场效应,而印度出口的本地市场效应并不显著。相比之下,中国更具有本地市场效应带来的贸易持续发展的动力。但是,随着产业转移的推进和国内市场的日益扩张,印度多类工业制成品也具备获得本地市场效应的潜力。对于中国而言,在传统比较优势日益减弱的趋势下,更应充分重视本地市场优势对出口贸易的决定性作用,这样才能保证获得出口贸易上的持续优势。

Comparative Research on the Home Market Effect of Manufactured Goods in China and India

Home Market Effect means that a country′s market size will push the export of manufactured goods.This paper tests the home market effect of manufactured goods in China and India through two models,and suggests that there is obvious home market effect of manufactured goods in China,but no obvious home market effect in India.By comparison,China owns the bigger impulse on development of trade arising from home market effect.But,for India,under the circumstances of industry transfer and domestic market development,many kinds of manufactured goods may have the potential to get the home market effect.For China,when facing the decline of the traditional comparative advantage,we should pay more attention to the importance of the home market effect to the export trade to maintain the advantage on export.