中国对外贸易模式经验研究——"母市场效应"vs.比较优势效应

中国的出口增长既有要素比较优势的动因,又存在制造业部门对外贸易"母市场效应"这一动因.本文采用MacCallum(1995)的方法,做了中国对108个国家2001～2008年出口面板数据的随机效应回归分析.结果显示,市场规模和出口存在显著正相关关系,市场规模的扩大会导致出口以更大比例增长.本文提出一个融合"母市场效应"...

An Empirical Study on the Mode of Chinese Foreign Trade:The Home-Market Effects VS the Comparative Advantage Effects

China′s export growth is impeded by both the comparative advantage effects and the home-market effects of the manufacture department.Using the method of Maccallum(1995),this paper does the random effects regression analysis on the panel data which including the exports from China to 108 region and countries from 2001 to 2008.Results show that there exists the significant positive relationship between the market size and export,the enlargement of market scale will lead to the greater growth of export proportion.And we put forward a testing model integrated the home-market effects and the comparative advantage effects,then we do the regression analysis on the panel data which including the manufacturing exports from China and other 31 countries to EU in the period from 2004 to 2008.The results show that Chinese manufacture exists significant home-market effects in international trade,but the comparative advantage effects play a more important role on promoting the export.The home-market effects will be stronger in the context of the assumption that the comparative advantage does not exist in factor endowment.