| 中国房地产投资与经济增长的计量分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 吴嵩. 中国房地产投资与经济增长的计量分析[J]. 技术经济与管理研究, 2010, 0(1): 22-25 |
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| 作者姓名： | 吴嵩 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海海事大学经济管理学院,上海,200135 |
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| 摘 要： | 近几年，中国房地产市场比较热，不断掀起投资的浪潮，中国的经济随之也较快地增长。但是金融危机席卷全球，对于2009年，中国的房地产投资与经济增长又如何呢？本文立足于现实情况，采集了15年的数据先对房地产投资和GDP进行组合预测，然后运用计量经济的相关知识对这十几年的数据进行定量分析，提出自己的见解，并展望未来。
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| 关 键 词： | 房地产投资 经济增长 预测 格兰杰因果检验 协整分析 |
China's Real Estate Investment and Economic Growth of the Quantitative Analysis |
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| WU Song. China's Real Estate Investment and Economic Growth of the Quantitative Analysis[J]. Technoeconomics & Management Research, 2010, 0(1): 22-25 |
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| Authors: | WU Song |
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| Affiliation: | School of Economics and Management Shanghai Maritime University/a>;Shanghai 200135/a>;China |
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| Abstract: | In recent years, China＇s real estate market developed faster, and continued to set off a wave of investment, so China＇s economy has been growing rapidly. However, the financial crisis was sweeping all over the world, what will China＇s real estate investment and economic growth go in 2009？ In this paper, I collect data for 15 years, firstly use the combined forecasting method to predict China＇s real estate investment and GDP, then use the knowledge of econometrics to analysis the data, finally, I express own opinion and look forward to the future. |
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| Keywords: | real estate investment economic growth forecast Granger causality test cointegration analysis |
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