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The Monetary Policy of the European Central Bank
Authors:Paolo Surico
Affiliation:Bank of England, London EC2R 8AH, England
Abstract:The first six years of ECB monetary policy are examined using a general framework that allows central bankers to weight differently positive and negative deviations of inflation, output and the interest rate from their reference values. The empirical analysis on synthetic euro‐area data suggests that the objective of price stability is symmetric, whereas the objectives of real activity and interest‐rate stabilizations are not. Output contractions imply larger policy responses than output expansions of the same size, while movements in the interest rate are larger when the level of the interest rate is relatively high. The hypothesis of M3 growth‐rate targeting is rejected.
Keywords:ECB monetary policy rule    asymmetric preferences    monetary targeting
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