中国—东盟运输服务贸易一体化的现状、水平与发展前景

通过分析中国-东盟运输服务贸易的现状和一体化水平,发现中国与东盟国家运输服务贸易在硬件建设上获得了较大的进步,但软件一体化的建设较晚;中国与东盟各国的运输服务贸易增长很快,但长期处于逆差的状态;中国—东盟的运输服务贸易一体化水平较高,且中国对东盟进口的密集度大于出口的密集度,未来一体化有上升的趋势。展望未来,由于中国与东盟国家近年来物流基础设施的发展、自由贸易区的如期建立、双边货物贸易的发展、物流水平、设施和环境有所改善等因素客观上决定了中国与东盟国家未来的运输服务贸易一体化将进一步深化。

Status, Characteristics, Prospects of Integration of Trade in Transport Services between China and ASEAN

By analyzing the characteristics of the transport services trade between China and ASEAN,the paper shows that the hardware integration was improved and the software integration was left behind.The transportation services trade has grown rapidly,but there was long-term deficit.Bilateral trade in goods reflects bilateral transport services trade which is the typical international additional services trade.The trade intensity shows that the level of integration is higher and the import intensity is greater than export intensity.In the future,there is a rising trend of integration.The integration of transport services trade will be further deepened because of the development of logistics infrastructure,the establishment of free trade area,the development of bilateral trade,facilities and environment,etc.