中国工业化进程中的能源消费变动--基于计量模型的实证分析

本文对比分析了美国与中国能源消费与经济增长的协整关系，用非农产业就业比重测定的中国工业化水平与能源密度的协整关系表明，中国工业化水平提高1％，能源密度下降0．33％，工业化水平的提高从长期来看是有利于提高能源利用效率的。中国人均能源消费可能会随着人均收入的提高而提高，这与中国较低的人文发展水平相关，但随着工业化、市场化进程的加快会促进能源密度的下降，从而以较低的能源消费实现较快的经济增长。

Change of Energy Consumption with the Process of Industrialization in China

The paper analyzes the co-integration of economy growth and energy consumption both in China and the U.S.A. and analyzes the coordinated relationship between industrialization and energy density in China. After detail research, some results have been concluded: the industrialization increases 1%, the energy density descends 0.33%, from long-term the increasing of industrialization is in favour of advancing energy efficiency. Our energy consumption per capita may increase with the advancing income per capita, because of the lower humanities development level in our country, but along with the progress of both industrialization and marketing, it will promote the descent of the energy density.