| 产业能源消费与产业发展的协整与误差修正模型分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 张丽峰.产业能源消费与产业发展的协整与误差修正模型分析[J].经济经纬,2005(6):34-36. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张丽峰 |
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| 作者单位： | 首都经济贸易大学,经济学院,北京,100026 |
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| 摘 要： | 能源消费与经济增长密切相关。能源消费在三次产业的分布与三次产业经济发展的关系如何，对于我国国民经济的可持续发展，建立资源节约型社会，保证资源的永续利用具有重要现实意义。笔者利用协整理论，检验三次产业的能源消费与产业发展的协整和因果关系，建立误差修正模型。结果表明，三次产业的能源消费弹性是不同的，GDP是能源消费的格兰杰因果关系。
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| 关 键 词： | 产业能源消费 协整 误差修正模型 格兰杰因果关系 |
| 文章编号： | 1006-1096（2005）06-0034-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-09-15 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005年9月15日 |
A Model Analysis of the Coordination between Industrial Energy Consumption and Industrial Development and Error Correction |
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| ZHANG Li-feng.A Model Analysis of the Coordination between Industrial Energy Consumption and Industrial Development and Error Correction[J].Economic Survey,2005(6):34-36. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Li-feng |
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| Institution: | School of Economics, Capital University of Economics and Trade, Beijing 100026, China |
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| Abstract: | Energy consumption is closely related to economic growth. The relationship between the distribution of energy consumption in tertiary industry and the economic development in tertiary industry is of realistic significance to the sustainable development of our national economy, the establishment of conservation conscious society and the everlasting utilization of resources. The author uses the coordination theory, inspects the coordination and causality between industrial energy consumption and industrial development, and establishes an error correction model. The result shows that the energy consumption flexibility in each industry is different and GDP is the Granger causality of energy consumption. |
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| Keywords: | industrial energy consumption coordination error correction model Granger causality |
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