技术创新、产业融合与制造业转型升级

在发达国家高端制造回流与中低收入国家争夺低端制造转移的“双向挤压”下，制造业转型升级已成为中国亟待解决的重大理论和实践问题。在产业融合度测算的基础上，运用多元线性回归模型探索技术创新对中国制造业转型升级的直接驱动作用，运用中介效应模型探索技术创新驱动中国制造业转型升级的基本路径。结果表明，技术创新对制造业转型升级具有显著直接驱动作用;产业融合是技术创新驱动制造业转型升级的基本路径。中国制造业与信息业融合度低且存在波动下降趋势，制约了制造业转型升级。因此，促进制造业转型升级,既要激励技术创新，又要促进产业融合，更要强化技术创新与产业融合的相互作用。

Technological Innovation,Industrial Convergence and Manufacturing Transformation and Upgrading

Under the "two-way squeeze" of high-end manufacturing reversion in developed countries and low-end manufacturing transfer in low- and middle-income countries, the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing industries has become a major theoretical and practical issue that China urgently needs to resolve. Based on the calculation of industrial integration degree, this paper uses multivariate linear regression model to explore the direct driving effect of technological innovation on the transformation and upgrading of China's manufacturing industry, and uses the intermediary effect model to explore the basic path of technological innovation to drive the transformation and upgrading of China's manufacturing industry. The research results show that technological innovation has a significant direct driving effect on the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing; Industrial integration is the basic path for technological innovation to drive manufacturing transformation and upgrading. China's manufacturing and information industries have a low degree of integration and there is a downward trend in fluctuation, which restricts the transformation and upgrading of the manufacturing industry. Therefore, policies that promote the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing industries must not only inspire technological innovation, but also promote industrial integration, and must also strengthen the interaction between technological innovation and industrial integration.