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Portfolio selection with qualitative input
Authors:Anant Chiarawongse  Sunti Tirapat
Affiliation:a Department of Banking and Finance, Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok 10330, Thailand
b Department of Statistics, Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok 10330, Thailand
c Department of Management Science and Engineering, Stanford University, CA 94305-4023, USA
Abstract:We formulate a mean-variance portfolio selection problem that accommodates qualitative input about expected returns and provide an algorithm that solves the problem. This model and algorithm can be used, for example, when a portfolio manager determines that one industry will benefit more from a regulatory change than another but is unable to quantify the degree of difference. Qualitative views are expressed in terms of linear inequalities among expected returns. Our formulation builds on the Black-Litterman model for portfolio selection. The algorithm makes use of an adaptation of the hit-and-run method for Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation. We also present computational results that illustrate advantages of our approach over alternative heuristic methods for incorporating qualitative input.
Keywords:Portfolio selection   Bayesian inference   Markov chain Monte Carlo   Black-Litterman model   Hit-and-run algorithm
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