中国外贸依存度分析——兼论汇率对外贸依存度的影响

尽管中国的外贸依存度逐年提高,鉴于加工贸易的急剧扩大、GDP结构差异、汇率等因素,与其他国家相比,中国的实际外贸依存度并不算高。因此,在继续推进对外贸易政策、优化贸易的产业结构和地区结构水平及人民币升值预期等因素影响下,中国外贸依存度仍将会有一定程度的提高,并且进口依存度将最终高于出口依存度。外贸依存度并不是越高越好,当务之急是要设计一套能全面有效反映国家宏观管理指标、经济效益指标、对外开放度等的指标体系。

On the Degree of Dependence on China's Forign Trade——Under the Influence of Exchange Rate

Although the degree of foreign trade existence in China is increasing each year,which is due to the following factors: the dramatic expansion of trading in processing industrial,the structural difference of GDP,and exchange rate.Compare with other countries,this degree is not relatively high.Therefore,under the influence of continuity promotion of foreign policy,optimizing industrial structure of trading and the level of area structure and the expectation of the appreciation of RMB,this degree will improve.