中国出口市场与世界进口市场的匹配性——以制造业为例

在世界经济复苏乏力、中国出口贸易增速放缓的背景下,研究中国出口市场结构与世界进口市场结构之间的匹配性具有重要的理论及现实意义。以制造业为例,在将其细分为劳动密集型、资本密集型及技术密集型的基础上,通过构建斯皮尔曼等级相关系数、收益性结构变动指数、劳伦斯指数等指标体系,对中国出口市场与世界进口市场的匹配程度和变动方向及波动幅度进行了实证研究,并与美国和日本进行比较分析,以期为中国制造业出口市场结构的优化升级提供参考。

Matching between China’s Export Market and the World Import Market:Taking Manufacturing As an Example

Under the background of sluggish world economic recovery and slow growth of China’s export trade,it is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the matching between China’s export market structure and the world import market structure.Taking manufacturing industry as an example,on the basis of subdividing it into labor-intensive,capital intensive and technology intensive manufacturing industry,this paper studies the matching degree,changing direction and fluctuation range of China’s export market and the world import market by constructing the index system of Spearman Index,Beneficial Index,Lawrence Index,and so on.This paper compares China with the United States and Japan in order to provide reference for the optimization and upgrading of the export market structure of China’s manufacturing industry.