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Impact of Cross-Strait Trade Liberalization: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis
摘    要:
This paper applies a computable general equilibrium model to investigate the potential economic effects of trade liberalization across the Taiwan Strait. Our simulation results reveal that cross-Strait trade liberalization will have significant positive impacts on external trade, domestic investment and real GDP for the economies in this area in general and in Taiwan in particular. Furthermore, the negative impact from the formation of a free trade arrangement between Taiwan and Chinese Mainland on Hong Kong seems to be rather small. These results suggest that cross-Strait trade liberalization is very likely to bring about a win-win situation for the economies in this area.

关 键 词:可计算一般均衡模型  贸易自由化  均衡分析  台湾海峡两岸  国内生产总值  经济情况  自由贸易  中国内地
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