全球化与城市贫困:基于中部六省的实证分析

在经济全球化背景下,我国经济获得了长足的发展,与此同时,城市贫困问题也日趋严重。本文以我国中部6省为研究对象,从收入和消费两个维度,估计了一个包含贸易和外国直接投资(FDI)变量的贫困决定函数,实证分析了贸易和FDI对城市贫困的影响,着重检验了其中的非线性关系和“门槛效应”。研究表明,贸易和FDI对于贫困人口有着不同的影响;FDI流入与贫困变化之间存在着非线性关系,表明全球化只有达到一定水平后才会使穷人受益。

Globalization and Urban Poverty: Evidence from the Six Privinces of Central China

Recently, China has experienced rapid global economy and economic growth, but the urban poverty has deteriorated since the late 1990s. This paper examines analytically and empirically the extent to which globalization affects the urban poverty in central China, paying particular attention to the nonlinearity and threshold effects of the impact of globalization on the poor. The main finding is that: Firstly the impact of FDI on the poor is different from that of trade. Secondly, there exists the nonlinearity of the impact of FDI on the urban poverty in central China, which implies that globalization leads to a decline in poverty only at high levels.