中国经济的增长-GDP数据的可信度以及增长的微观基础

该文从GDP计算体系和经济增加值(EVA)分析方法着眼,对近年来中国经济增长速度及其与企业微观绩效之间的关系进行了理论和实证性的分析.研究结果表明,首先,我国近年来的经济增长数据基本可靠;第二,我国宏观和微观经济之间并不存在本质性的背离;第三,我国经济的可持续发展的增长点来自于上市公司、集体企业、民营企业、外商及港澳台投资企业、股份制企业等;最后,中国经济的增长能否继续如现状持续下去,很大程度上取决于资本成本能否继续下降.

CHINA'S ECONOMIC GROWTH-RELIABILITY OF GROWTH STATISTICS AND MICRO FOUNDATION OF GROWTH

this paper uses the frameworf of eva analysis to analyze the relia- bility of gdp statistics and the apparent contradiction between china's high economic growth and declining corporate profitability.the result shows that apart from the year of 1998,china's economic growth data between 1996 and 2001 is basically reliable,and there is little ground for the criticism of rawsfi(2001)on the economic growth of china. on the other hand,the reason for the simultaneous emergence of high economic growth and poor corp