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The German labor market during the Great Recession: Shocks and institutions
Affiliation:1. University Hospital Halle (Saale), Ernst-Grube Str. 40, D-06120 Halle (Saale), Germany;2. Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Institute for Biomedicine of Aging, Kobergerstrasse 60, D-90408 Nürnberg, Germany;1. Deutsche Bundesbank, Wilhelm-Epstein-Straße 14, Frankfurt am Main 60431, Germany;2. Department of Economics, University of Munich, Akademiestraße 1, Munich 80799, Germany;3. Department of Economics, University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Lange Gasse 20, Nuremberg 90403, Germany
Abstract:
This paper analyzes Germany's unusual labor market experience during the Great Recession. We estimate a general equilibrium model with a detailed labor market block for post-unification Germany. This allows us to disentangle the role of institutions (short-time work, government spending rules) and shocks (aggregate, labor market, and policy shocks) and to perform counterfactual exercises. We identify positive labor market performance shocks (likely caused by labor market reforms) as the key driver for the “German labor market miracle” during the Great Recession.
Keywords:Great Recession  Search and matching  DSGE  Short-time work  Fiscal policy  Business cycles  Germany  E24  E32  E62  J08  J63
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