基于协整理论的中国人均收入增长与产业结构变动关系研究

改革开放30年来,我国农村居民人均纯收入与城镇居民可支配收入均有了较大增长。文章利用协整理论分析了1978～2007年二者与产业结构之间的关系。研究表明,农民人均收入在1978～1991年仅与第一产业存在协整关系,在1992～2007年与第一、二产业均存在协整关系,与第三产业始终未出现协整;城镇居民人均收入在1978～2007年始终与第二产业协整,与第一产业未出现协整,与第三产业的协整出现于1996～2007年。

Research of China per capital income growth and industry structure change relation basing on coordinative theory

The reform and open policy for 30 years, Our country per capita net income of rural residents and urban residents might control income have a large growth.The artical uses the co -integration theory to analyze the relationship between the two and the industrial structure .Studies have shown that the per capita income of farmer was only co-integration with the first industry between 1978 and 1991,and cointegration with the first and second industries between 1992 and 2007, and no cointegration with the third...