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Rational dictators and the killing of innocents: Data from Stalin’s archives
Authors:Paul R Gregory  Philipp JH Schrder  Konstantin Sonin
Institution:a University of Houston and Hoover Institution, Stanford University, United States;b Aarhus University, Denmark;c New Economic School, Moscow, Russia
Abstract:We posit a rational choice model of dictatorship to explain the tendency of dictators to repress innocent citizens. This model demonstrates that, when the quality of information about regime enemies is low, a rational dictator will knowingly kill and imprison citizens who are not real enemies. We use the formerly secret Stalin archives to test this proposition against the stylized facts of Stalin’s three major repressions.
Keywords:Dictatorial systems  Stalinism  Soviet State and Party archives  NKVD  OPGU
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