| 中国城市化发展与经济增长关系的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘耀彬.中国城市化发展与经济增长关系的实证分析[J].商业研究,2006(24):23-27. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘耀彬 |
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| 作者单位： | 南昌大学,经济与管理学院,江西,南昌,330047;南昌大学,中国中部经济发展研究中心,江西,南昌,330047 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用协整关系检验和基于向量误差修正模型的格兰杰因果方法,分时段地对中国城市化发展与经济增长之间的长期相关关系和因果关系进行了实证检验。实证结果表明:不同样本区间内,城市化发展与经济增长的协整关系并不一致,二者之间有一个由松到紧密的相关联系过程;不同样本区间内,城市化发展与经济增长的因果方向也并不相同,这与中国城市化发展的阶段性与外生性密切相关;目前中国城市化发展与经济增长是互为推进的,着眼于多要素的综合是协调好其二者关系的有效途径。
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| 关 键 词： | 城市化 经济增长 协整检验 格兰杰因果检验 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-148X（2006）24-0023-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-03-27 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年3月27日 |
An Empirical Analysis on the Relationship Between Chinese Urbanization and Economic Growth |
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| LIU Yao-bin.An Empirical Analysis on the Relationship Between Chinese Urbanization and Economic Growth[J].Commercial Research,2006(24):23-27. |
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| Authors: | LIU Yao-bin |
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| Institution: | School of Economics and Management, Nanchang University; Center for Central China Economic Development Research, Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi 330047, China |
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| Abstract: | By means of cointegration test and Granger-causality test based on vector errors correct modeling(VECM),the paper has respectively tested the relations and causality between Chinese urbanization and economic growth during 1952-2003.The results show that the cointegration relationship varies in different sampled phases,which invalves a process from loose ones to compactness,while the Granger-causality relationship varies in different sampled phases,affected by China surbanization stages and exogencus characteristics.Currently China's urbanization and economic growth is interacting,and it is an available approach to comprehensively advance the multiple-factors for coordinating between urbanization development and economic growth. |
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| Keywords: | urbanization economic growth cointegration granger-causality test |
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