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Diagnostic analysis for a vector autoregressive model under Student′s t‐distributions
Authors:Yonghui Liu  Ruochen Sang  Shuangzhe Liu
Institution:1. Shanghai University of International Business and Economics, Shanghai, China;2. Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai, China;3. University of Canberra, Canberra, Australia
Abstract:In this paper, we use the local influence method to study a vector autoregressive model under Students t‐distributions. We present the maximum likelihood estimators and the information matrix. We establish the normal curvature diagnostics for the vector autoregressive model under three usual perturbation schemes for identifying possible influential observations. The effectiveness of the proposed diagnostics is examined by a simulation study, followed by our data analysis using the model to fit the weekly log returns of Chevron stock and the Standard & Poor's 500 Index as an application.
Keywords:curvature  maximum likelihood estimator  perturbation scheme  Student's t‐distribution  vector autoregressive model
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