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工资与劳动生产率的赛跑
引用本文:蔡窻.工资与劳动生产率的赛跑[J].贵州财经学院学报,2012,30(3):1-5.
作者姓名:蔡窻
作者单位:中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所,北京 100732
摘    要:通过国际比较发现,在显现劳动力短缺和工资上涨现象的刘易斯转折点,到迎来劳动年龄人口停止增长、人口抚养比停止下降的人口红利转折点,其间日本经过了30余年,韩国将经过40多年,而中国充其量只有9年。中国这一特殊性可以较好地解释民工荒或招工难现象的严峻性,以及工资增长的巨大幅度。研究指出,工资增长的可持续性在于劳动生产率的提高速度能否与之保持同步和适应,同时提出关于提高劳动生产率的政策建议。

关 键 词:招工难  工资增长  劳动生产率  全要素生产率  
收稿时间:2012-04-05

On Wage vs.Labor Productivity
CAI.On Wage vs.Labor Productivity[J].Journal of Guizhou College of Finance and Economics,2012,30(3):1-5.
Authors:CAI
Institution:CAI Fang(Institute of Population and Labor Economics,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 100732 China)
Abstract:The transformation from the Lewis turning point characterized by labor shortage and wage increase to the demographic dividend turning point at which working age population stops growing and dependence ratio stops declining took over 30 years in Japan,and it will take more than 40 years in Korea.Such a time slot for China to pass through the transformation is 9 years at most.The uniqueness of China’s experience can well explain why the labor shortage has been so severe and wage increase so fast.This paper reveals that the sustainability of wage growth depends on whether the enhancement of labor productivity can keep pace with or even surpass the wage increase.It provides some policy suggestions about how labor productivity can be improved.
Keywords:difficulty for recruitment  wage increase  labor productivity  total factor productivity
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