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Is gold a weak or strong hedge and safe haven against stocks? Robust evidences from three major gold-consuming countries
Authors:Arif Billah Dar
Institution:Economic Environment and Strategy, Institute of Management Technology, Ghaziabad, India
Abstract:In this article, we test nexus between gold and stocks for the three major gold consumers by using the range of methodologies. First, we assess if there is any time-varying correlation between the two assets. We fail to find any significant time-varying correlation between gold and stock returns in India and the United States. Second, we attempted to investigate the safe-haven property of gold by analysing the decile-wise conditional correlation between stock returns and gold returns at different deciles of stock returns. Third, in order to test the robustness of the results drawn from the decile-wise correlation, we employ wavelet coherence in continuous wavelet framework to test the time and frequency varying nexus between the pair of assets. The range of methodologies employed seems to indicate the weak hedge and safe haven-property of gold for stocks.
Keywords:Gold  stock prices  multi-horizon investors  hedge  conditional correlation
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