中国农产品贸易调整的能力与成本研究

文章利用入世后中国农产品贸易数据,实证分析了进、出口产品结构的现状和演化.研究表明中国进口产品结构适应世界市场变动趋势;出口则未遵照世界需求及时调整,调整能力明显低于进口.把国际市场滞后一期,中国出口调整能力依然较弱且显著;进口调整能力也要弱于当年的进口调整.指数表征中国具有贸易调整的可能性.中国可通过调整农产品贸易结构.提高国内与国际市场的对接吻合程度.促进农产品贸易条件改善.

Research on the Adjustment Ability & Costs of Trade in Chinese Agricultural Products

This paper empirically analyzes the present situation and evolution of the export and import of agricultural products by using the data of China's agricultural product trade after accession to WTO.The results indicate that the structure of import adapts to the changing tendency of the world market while that of export does not suit the world demand,with its structural adjustment ability being obviously lower than import.The Chinese export adjustment ability is still remarkably weaker than the world market e...