| 工业轻重结构变化对能源消费的影响 |
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| 引用本文： | 齐志新,陈文颖,吴宗鑫. 工业轻重结构变化对能源消费的影响[J]. 中国工业经济, 2007, 0(2) |
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| 作者姓名： | 齐志新 陈文颖 吴宗鑫 |
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| 作者单位： | 清华大学现代管理研究中心 北京100084 |
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| 基金项目： | 教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地项目“可持续能源系统及减排CO2模型研究”(批准号05JJD630035) |
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| 摘 要： | 本文应用因素分解方法,计算了1993—2005年工业部门内部轻重结构变化对能源消费和能源强度的影响,发现重工业比例每增加一个百分点,则能源消费增加约1000万吨标煤;总体上看,工业轻重结构的变化对工业能源强度和单位GDP能耗的影响小于部门强度因素,但近几年,重工业比例的增加对工业能源强度的影响很大,2003年工业能源强度反常上升,78%都可以归因于这一因素。在此基础上,笔者提出了一个能源强度分析的框架。
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| 关 键 词： | 工业轻重结构 能源消费 能源强度 |
Effect of Light-heavy Industry Structure Changes on Energy Consumption |
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| QI Zhi-xin,CHEN Wen-ying,WU Zong-xin. Effect of Light-heavy Industry Structure Changes on Energy Consumption[J]. China Industrial Economy, 2007, 0(2) |
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| Authors: | QI Zhi-xin CHEN Wen-ying WU Zong-xin |
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| Abstract: | Applying decomposition method,the paper calculated the effects of light-heavy industry structure changes on energy consumption and energy intensity.One conclusion is that every additional one percent of heavy industry delivers energy consumption 1000 more Tce.The other conclusion is that the effect of light-heavy industry structure changes on energy intensity is less than the effect of the sub-sector's intensity;but the share increase of heavy industry has great effect on industry energy intensity in the several years,for example,78% of the rise of industry energy intensity in 2003 can be attributed to this factor.Based on the study,a frame of energy intensity analysis is delivered. |
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| Keywords: | light-heavy industry structure energy consumption energy intensity |
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