Never judge a book by its cover: what security analysts have to say beyond recommendations |
| |
Authors: | Alexander G Kerl Andreas Walter |
| |
Institution: | (1) Department of Banking, University of Tuebingen, Mohlstrasse 36, 72074 Tuebingen, Germany |
| |
Abstract: | Our study analyzes market reaction to the entire content of a large sample of analysts’ reports from the period 2002 to 2004
for the German market. In particular, we explore whether the three summary measures in the reports, i.e., recommendation revisions,
earnings forecast revisions, and target price forecast revisions are acknowledged by the market. Additionally, we investigate
if stated justifications in the written text of analysts’ reports contain information value beyond the three summary measures.
We find that earnings forecast revisions and target price forecast revisions contain valuable information, both unconditionally
and conditional on the rest of the information in the report. Our findings also reveal that justifications made by analysts
are of high salience to market participants. These justifications provide valuable information, both unconditionally and conditional
on all other types of information in a report. Our findings also suggest that business ties between banks and the analyzed
companies do not affect market reaction to dissemination of an analysts’ report.
|
| |
Keywords: | Security analysts’ reports Information production Stock recommendation Target price Earnings forecast |
本文献已被 SpringerLink 等数据库收录! |
|