土地利用／土地覆盖变化与土地利用规划——以安徽马鞍山市为例

利用马鞍山市1983、1996、2010年的土地详查、土地现状和土地规划数据，分析了马鞍山市1983—1996年以及1997-2010规划年土地利用类型结构的变化及其土地变化的驱动因子。通过相关分析揭示出：马鞍山市1983年以来土地利用／土地覆盖变化主要表现为耕地减少和建设用地的增加，耕地减少的主要驱动因子是人口增加、工业和农业的发展；规划期土地利用／土地覆盖变化的驱动因子是土地管理、人口和社会经济的发展；新的土地管理法的严格施行，将使今后我国区域土地利用／土地覆盖变化不同程度的向着有利于经济、社会和生态环境的方向发展。

STUDY ON LAND USE /COVER CHANGE AND THE LAND USE OVERALL PLA NNING--A CASE STUDY OF MAANSHAN CITY

This paper takes the Maanshan City as an example,based on the data of land sift, land use current situation and land use planning in 1983,1996 and 2010,analyses the change of land use structural type and the driving factor of land use change in 1983-1996 and in 1997-2010. the results of correlation analysis revealed the main characteristics of the city's land use change are the obvious reduction of cultivated land and the increase of construction land, the driving forces of reduction of cultivated land are the rapid growth of population,the development of the industry and agriculture during the past 13 years,in the next 13 years,the driving factors of land use change in Maanshan City are the land management,the rapid growth of population and the development of social and economy, the most important factor is the land management.