国际原油价格、货币政策对我国农产品价格的影响机理与效应

国际市场的进一步开放,带动了世界经济一体化,我国农产品价格受到国际市场的影响越来越大,在众多影响因素中,国际原油价格以及货币政策对农产品价格的影响较大,采取通径分析法,选取我国农产品中比较有代表性的农产品进行实证研究,研究后发现,二者都会对我国农产品价格产生一定的影响,国际原油价格能够通过直接影响对农产品价格发挥效应,而货币政策主要通过间接影响对农产品价格产生效应,两者都会造成农产品价格的波动。

The influence mechanism and effect of international crude oil price and monetary policy on China’s agricultural product price

The further opening of the international market has driven the integration of the world economy. The price of agricultural products in China has been increasingly affected by the international market. Among the many influencing factors, international crude oil price and monetary policy have a greater impact on the price of agricultural products. The paper uses the path analysis method and selects the representative agricultural products in China for empirical research. After the research, it is found that both of them have a certain impact on the price of agricultural products in China. The international crude oil price can exert an effect on the price of agricultural products through direct impact, while the monetary policy mainly has an effect on the price of agricultural products through indirect impact. Both of them will cause the price fluctuation of agricultural products.