| 中国对外贸易与现代港口物流发展的互动效应研究——基于VAR模型的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 林青.中国对外贸易与现代港口物流发展的互动效应研究——基于VAR模型的实证分析[J].哈尔滨商业大学学报(社会科学版),2011(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 林青 |
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| 作者单位： | 福建师范大学协和学院,福州,350108 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用基于VAR模型的脉冲响应分析和方差分解,对我国对外贸易与现代港口物流发展的互动效应进行实证研究。结果表明,我国对外贸易与现代港口物流的发展是相互促进的关系,但它们对彼此的影响截然不同。进出口贸易额的增长是港口物流现代化建设的强大促进力,但作用仅限于短期。港口物流的现代化建设能迅速拉动对外贸易的增长,并且长期效果依然显著。最后提出建设现代港口物流以促进我国外贸发展的政策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 现代港口物流 对外贸易 VAR模型 |
Interactive Effect of Import and Export Trade and Modern Port Logistics in China --.Empirical Study Base on VAR Model |
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| LIN Qing.Interactive Effect of Import and Export Trade and Modern Port Logistics in China --.Empirical Study Base on VAR Model[J].Journal of Harbin University of Commerce:Social Science Edition,2011(3). |
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| Authors: | LIN Qing |
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| Institution: | LIN Qing(Concord University College,Fujian Normal University,Fuzhou 350108,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on VAR model impulse response analysis and variance decomposition,this paper conducts empirical studies on the interactive relationship of import and export trade and modern port logistics.The results show that there exists a stable interactive relationship between them.In shot term,the promote effect to modern port logistics by import and export trade is significant.In the long run,the growth of import and export goods benefit from modern port logistic.Finally,some suggestions for developing modern l... |
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| Keywords: | modern port logistics import and export trade VAR model |
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